Saturday, August 14, 2010

Ranking the wide receivers

Wide receivers today, tight ends tomorrow, kickers and defenses next week.  Also, I have a rookie/free agent draft coming up tomorrow in my highly competitive dynasty league.  I'll let you know how that goes down as well.

Now, the divas.  It's one sure thing, then a bunch of talented guys with minor question marks, then the sleepers and the rest.

1.  Andre Johnson -- The sure thing.  Yards, TD, catches.
2.  Calvin Johnson -- I'm big on the Lions.  I think he finally gives us what we've been waiting for.
3.  Miles Austin -- Fewest questions from here on out.  Was the best in the game for the majority of 2009.
4.  Larry Fitzgerald -- Warner's loss hurts more than Boldin'sFitz will get his, but is no longer a game-to-game sure thing.
5.  Randy Moss -- Football is a young man's game.  Plus, if the Pats struggle, Moss will give up.
6.  Reggie Wayne -- The third tier stars here.  I'm not a fan of Wayne this year for three reasons.  His age, his dropoff in production, and his improving supporting cast.
7.  Greg Jennings -- Pretty much a given to contribute, it's just that Driver stole a lot of fantasy love in 2009.  Could change this year.
8.  DeSean Jackson -- Risk/reward, should catch less balls than Brandon Marshall, but is the premiere home run hitter in the league.  Can Kolb serve it up, BP style?
9.  Brandon Marshall -- Should have something to prove, PPR machine, but the Dolphins will stay with running game.
10.  Dwayne Bowe -- Talent is there, he worked out hard in the off-season (and needed to), and Charlie Weis has arrived.  I like Bowe.
11.  Steve Smith (CAR) -- Still has number one WR talent, and I like him more with Moore.
12.  Roddy White -- Falcons continue to be a run first team, and Roddy was one the most inconsistent players of 2009.  I hate inconsistency.
13.  Marques Colston -- Yawn.  Lots of options in NO.
14.  Sidney Rice -- Probably is in the 8-10 range with Favre -- and a fully healed hip.
15.  Hakeem Nicks -- I think he is the clear number one in NY by midseason.
16.  Anquan Boldin -- Ravens number one, and they should try to make him earn his money.  Like that he is now a number one, hate his new smashmouth team.
17. Michael Crabtree -- There is upside here. He was an important factor in 2009, and missed almost all significant practice reps.
18.  Vincent Jackson -- Tough to rank.  Should be number 13 if he's only missing three games.
19.  Chad Ochocinco -- What's the upside here, that he will demand the ball?  That's about it.
20.  Wes Welker -- Sounds like he may play week one.
21.  Mike Sims-Walker -- He'll likely be a bargain.  Not a sexy pick, and I don't love him, but he's a number one WR for the Jags.
22.  Santana Moss -- Does McNabb see any DeSean in Santana?
23.  Mike Wallace -- Am I the only one who thinks he'll be better than Ward?
24.  Steve Smith (NYG) -- I think he outplayed his talent in 2009.
25.  Pierre Garcon -- He certainly has momentum and upside coming off a strong playoff performance.
26.  Hines Ward -- The old reliable, should be good for 1000 and 6-8 scores.  Just no upside.
27.  Donald Driver -- See Hines Ward.
28.  Braylon Edwards -- My old friend, the hands of stone.
29.  Lee Evans -- He is the number one in Buffalo, and still has great talent, I think.  I'd know if they ever threw him the ball.
30.  Chaz Schillins -- Let's round out the number ones, Schillins is a big target, and Campbell absolutely improves that offense.
31.  Devin Aromashodu -- He's the guy I want on th Bears over Knox, mainly because I saw his big time talent in the last games of 2009.
32.  TJ Houshmandzadeh -- He needs to be a number two.  Good sidekick, not a main target.  Still, he's a loudmouth, which is a good thing for fantasy purposes.  Seattle was just so awful last year.
33.  Kenny Britt -- Seems like a good talent, it's just that it's CJ's offense, and I'm not a Vince guy.
34.  Donnie Avery and Laurent Robinson -- I wouldn't draft either here, because we don't know who will emerge as the number one, but I'm putting them here to say that I like whoever emerges.
35.  Malcom Floyd -- A serious play for weeks 1-3.  Longer if Jackson sits out.
36.  Jabar Gaffney -- Not really built like a one, but someone has to catch passes in Denver.
37.  Johnny Knox -- I'm on board with the Cutler-Martz marriage.
38.  Steve Breaston -- You have to love playing the Rams and Seahawks twice a year if you're a passing offense.  Just not sure Breaston is as good as BoldinDoucet is also a factor.
39.  Dez Bryant -- I love his big play ability.  Injury just keeps his price down.
40.  Percy Harvin -- Bump him up a couple spots with Favre.  Not ready to be a star though in fantasy.
41.  Robert Meachem -- Again, lots of options in New Orleans.  He emerged last year, then faded.
42.  Mike Williams -- The Tampa rookie has talent, and would have been drafted higher than the fourth round in April if not for character concerns.
43.  Jeremy Maclin -- ESPN guy KC Joyner says that Maclin has the toughest schedule of any WR this year.  I guess I believe him.
44.  Santonio Holmes -- Suspension looming.
45.  Mohamed Massaquoi -- Probably should be higher, but it's Delhomme in Cleveland, which is a 10 spot penalty in the rankings, minimum.
46.  Devin Hester -- I've never been a fan of him as a WR.
47.  Bernard Berrian
48.  Terrell Owens
49.  Eddie Royal
50.  Roy Williams
51.  Nate Burleson
52.  Josh Morgan
53.  Early Doucet
54.  James Jones
55.  Jacoby Jones
56.  Derrick Mason
57.  Devery Henderson
58.  Brandon LaFell
59.  Mario Manningham
60.  Austin Collie
61.  Devin Thomas
62.  Brandon Tate

Cheers,
TFAM

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