You can have your shortstops. I'll mine for gold in the outfield, which along with starting pitching, is where fantasy leagues are won and lost. There are just so many high upside plays in the OF that you can get for inexpensive prices on draft day. Just look at my top 10, where the youth stands out. Your job (and mine) will be to find the next wave of young outfielders that are going to be sitting atop these rankings three years from now, and lock them in at great values. Above all positions, outfield has the depth to comb through this list, find the guys that you like, and only take those guys. If you're in a auction, this works perfectly. In a draft, do NOT, get stuck with an outfielder you don't want just because he is next on the cheat sheet. Go to a different position, or reach for upside. Why? I can find a Franklin Gutierrez on the wire if my Cameron Maybin upside play doesn't pan out. I won't get another chance to exploit the upside in a guy like Bruce, Rasmus or McCutchen once the season starts if I pass on them for Shane Victorino.
1. R. Braun -- Guaranteed producer in five cats.
2. M. Kemp -- Closing the gap, 30-30 in the cards.
3. M. Holliday -- St. Louis numbers are reason to believe.
4. J. Upton -- Could be number one next year. More steals than his 20 in '09.
5. C. Crawford -- Highest I can go here, but a safe play.
6. G. Sizemore -- Batting average needs to rise for him to do the same.
7. C. Granderson -- Love him in pinstripes. 30 HR, 15 SB is the floor, batting average will go up. However, important to note that the superstar dropoff begins here. Big difference in value between top six and 7-30. If you believe in tiers, grab one top six guy and figure out who you like in the 7-30 range.
8. J. Ellsbury -- Speed sans power, I can find guys like that outside of top 25.
9. B. Upton -- Speed with power, I'm bullish on BJ in 2010...20-40. Lots of questions, but BJ is one of two guys most likely to make the leap into the top tier in 2011. McCutchen is the other.
10. I. Suzuki -- Not a fan, this may still be too high for batting average player.
11. A. Lind -- Can he repeat the power? I say .280-30.
12. J. Bay -- Which is about what Bay gives you.
13. S. Choo -- .300-20-20 is very valuable.
14. M. Ramirez -- In this range his questions may not be worth the gamble. Lots of good OFs.
15. A. Dunn -- Guaranteed power. 1B eligible as well.
16. A. McCutchen -- I'm out on a limb, but 15-40 sounds very doable. How is that different from Crawford?
17. N. Markakis -- Still waiting for the power.
18. C. Lee -- Lack of upside as an OF makes me pass on him.
19. C. Quentin -- Health is the only question.
20. J. Werth -- The Mark Reynolds of OF. .268, 36 HR, 20 SB in '09. Tough to repeat that.
21. N. Cruz -- Slightly worse stats than Werth, but proof that we can believe in the hype, sometimes.
22. A. Ethier -- I'm not seeing why everyone is so excited about him.
23. B. Abreu -- Safe play, still stole 30 in '09.
24. J. Bruce -- I think 30 HR is coming, easily.
25. A. Jones -- Upside play, but may be a little too hyped and expensive considering who is still available.
26. T. Hunter -- Safe .280-25-15.
27. H. Pence -- Star has fallen a bit, which is exactly the time I like to pounce.
28. C. Beltran -- Injuries could actually make him a big sleeper.
29. J. Hamilton -- Seems too low, but I'd rather draft everyone above him.
30. R. Ibanez -- Slowed in the second half, as 22 of 34 HR came before break.
31. A. Soriano -- Couldn't be more afraid to roster Fons. Not enough SBs anymore.
32. C. Gonzalez -- Told you I like youth.
32.5. S. Victorino -- Forgot about him when I did the list the other day.
33. M. Bourn -- 60 SB are a game changer this low.
34. J. Borbon -- Scintillating speed potential, remeber what I said about Ellsbury?
35. A. Rios -- The ultimate wild card. Could rebound big with a .280-20-30, Could be droppable, as he was in '09. Change to South Side launching pad helps restore faith.
36. D. Fowler -- I thought he was going to steal 80 after that five steal game last April, finished with 27. Oops.
37. J. Damon -- Detroit will sap his power. Under 20 HR is a lock.
38. D. Span -- Speed remains abundant. Span is a very safe, low risk play.
39. J. Pierre -- Appears to have 450 ABs in his future. That means 40+ SBs and a .300 AVG.
40. N. Morgan -- I'm pummleing a dead horse right now regarding speed in the OF.
41. T. Snider -- Forgotten man, but top 10 prospect in the game just one year ago. Light tower power. Had to mix that phrase in once.
42. M. Cuddyer -- I'm not going to bet on 30 HR again, and I watch him everyday. Pass.
43. C. Coghlan -- NL ROY has more power and speed to come.
44. C. Rasmus -- Last call on the clearance sale.
45. N. Reimold -- Give him 500 ABs, he'll hit 25 HR with 15 SB.
46. D. Stubbs -- I'd rather take Stubbs late than Crawford early. Showed up big in Sept. '09.
47. J. Kubel -- Worried about the ABs with Thome in town. Love the bat.
48. D. Young -- How long must we wait Delmon?
49. C. Maybin -- Speed/power upside play.
50. L. Milledge -- Combined with Maybin, I wasted $17 in an auction on these do upside bums....and may just do it again. I won the league.
51. F. Gutierrez -- Quiet 18 HR, 16 SB in '09.
52. N. McLouth -- No thanks.
53. V. Wells -- Makes more in millions than he is worth in dollars.
54. N. Swisher -- Better in an OBP league.
55. R. Davis -- Stole 41 in OAK in '09. Just not guaranteed PT in my mind.
56. M. Cameron -- Safe 20 HR. Speed is in decline though, don't count on it.
57. M. Bradley -- Only so you don't forget about him. Can be very productive.
58. M. Joyce -- No one is talking about Joyce, but a 20-15 season is valuable, and would keep Desmond Jennings in Durham.
59. M. LaPorta -- Was hyped player when traded for CC. How much PT with Branyan around is the question.
60. C. B. Young -- Tantalizinig, yet, I saw him in person and let me tell you he has worse body language than Quasimodo.
61. C. Gomez -- Should get a big chance and is moving to the NL. Could surprise.
62. JD Drew -- If we could combine his stats with...
63. J. Hermida -- ...Hermida's, we'd be onto something big.
64. J. Heyward -- The next big thing. Bump him up to 48 if he starts in Atlanta.
65. C. Hart -- Wouldn't surprise me if he wore sungalsses in AAA in 2010. Can't hit.
66. K. Blanks -- Has the power, but ballpark minimizes his upside.
67. G. Jones -- You could do worse with a flier.
68. M. DeRosa -- Like taking Mark DeRosa, for example.
69. E. Dukes -- I rate him low because he gets punished for teasing.
70. B. Hawpe -- Broken record, I'd rather gamble on upside.
No, I didn't forget about Willingham, Ludwick, Magglio, Brett Gardner and a host of others. I just can find guys like that anytime I want to, like I explained above. As far as prospects go, they are deep in the OF, with Heyward leading the way. Not far behind are Jennings, who is a burner, but is currently blocked in Tampa, and Mike Stanton who is a five tool beast, but is young and will start in AA. Others to watch include Dominic Brown (PHI) and Michael Taylor (OAK). Brown is further away, but Taylor's ballpark is a concern. They are both possible five cat contributors. Michael Brantley in Cleveland and Austin Jackson in Detroit will be involved in 2010 and are stolen base guys. Jackson would be a nice flier if he is projected to start. Dustin Ackley was drafted just last year but is being touted as a future batting champ in Seattle and could see Safeco in 2010. Long term dynasty leaguers should be intrigued by Ryan Westmoreland of the Red Sox and Aaron Hicks of the Twins, but neither of those guys will be up in 2010.
Cheers,
TFAM
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Friday, February 26, 2010
Friday Five
Lots of interesting news this week, so we're going back to the old format with the Five, if only for a week. In other words, five things I'd rather do than.....
As fantasy baseball season approaches, you are going to see me write a lot about players I like, and players I don't like. At the top of the list of don't likes this year is Roy Oswalt. Is there a less sexy pick in FBB than Oswalt? Probably not, unless you like the steady lack of production of a guy like Placido Polanco. Oswalt's ERA has declined steadily from 2.94 in 2005 to 4.12 in 2009, rising every season. He also is no longer close to a K guy, as he hasn't topped 180 in five years and bottomed out at 138 a season ago. I don't think Oswalt will go too high. As a matter of fact, someone is going to grab him and think he got him late and that was a steal. Have fun with that. I'll pick up my league average, non K SPs for $1 or as fillers at the end of my draft.
So, five things I'd rather do than own Roy Oswalt in 2010?
I would rather bet on Martin Kaymer at TPC Scottsdale. Really Martin, six bogeys in 12 holes to start the tournament. Did you forget your are the 8th ranked player in the world? Editor's Note: Grudge potential here, as I did play Kaymer in my one and done league this week.
I'd rather attend a movie at the St. Croix Falls Cinema.
I'd rather de-ice my window panes with a blowtorch. It's at the bottom.
I'd rather train the next Shamu. Yikes.
And, while were on sea life exhibits, I think I'd rather visit this one at the mall in Dubai.
Cheers,
TFAM
As fantasy baseball season approaches, you are going to see me write a lot about players I like, and players I don't like. At the top of the list of don't likes this year is Roy Oswalt. Is there a less sexy pick in FBB than Oswalt? Probably not, unless you like the steady lack of production of a guy like Placido Polanco. Oswalt's ERA has declined steadily from 2.94 in 2005 to 4.12 in 2009, rising every season. He also is no longer close to a K guy, as he hasn't topped 180 in five years and bottomed out at 138 a season ago. I don't think Oswalt will go too high. As a matter of fact, someone is going to grab him and think he got him late and that was a steal. Have fun with that. I'll pick up my league average, non K SPs for $1 or as fillers at the end of my draft.
So, five things I'd rather do than own Roy Oswalt in 2010?
I would rather bet on Martin Kaymer at TPC Scottsdale. Really Martin, six bogeys in 12 holes to start the tournament. Did you forget your are the 8th ranked player in the world? Editor's Note: Grudge potential here, as I did play Kaymer in my one and done league this week.
I'd rather attend a movie at the St. Croix Falls Cinema.
I'd rather de-ice my window panes with a blowtorch. It's at the bottom.
I'd rather train the next Shamu. Yikes.
And, while were on sea life exhibits, I think I'd rather visit this one at the mall in Dubai.
Cheers,
TFAM
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Vaz difference?
Very quietly, Javy Vazquez had a fantastic year in Atlanta in 2009, with 15 wins, a 2.87 ERA and 238 K's in 219 innings. Frankly, there were only three or four better SP options in all of fantasy baseball.
Bring on 2010, and a move to the Bronx. Usually, a move to New York means an uptick in fantasy value. However, that's not the case with Javy, for many reasons. From least concerning to most...
1. Yankee tax -- you have to pay more for Yankees in drafts and auctions.
2. League change -- NL to AL, not good. Vazquez' last year in the AL? ERA 4.67, Chicago 2008.
3. Yankee Stadium -- Javy gives up his share of bombs and is bound to rank in the top 10 in HR allowed in 2010.
4. New York -- Vazquez didn't exactly take to the bright lights in 2004 (you forgot he used to wear pinstripes?), a season after which the Yanks couldn't deal him to Arizona fast enough. His final numbers in 2004? 14 wins, 4.91 ERA, 150 K in 199 IP. In other words, BUST.
Bottom line? Javy is going to be popular come selection time in March/April. I'll take a pass. I haven't ranked the pitchers yet, but Vaz(queese) is not likely to make the top 15.
Cheers,
TFAM
Bring on 2010, and a move to the Bronx. Usually, a move to New York means an uptick in fantasy value. However, that's not the case with Javy, for many reasons. From least concerning to most...
1. Yankee tax -- you have to pay more for Yankees in drafts and auctions.
2. League change -- NL to AL, not good. Vazquez' last year in the AL? ERA 4.67, Chicago 2008.
3. Yankee Stadium -- Javy gives up his share of bombs and is bound to rank in the top 10 in HR allowed in 2010.
4. New York -- Vazquez didn't exactly take to the bright lights in 2004 (you forgot he used to wear pinstripes?), a season after which the Yanks couldn't deal him to Arizona fast enough. His final numbers in 2004? 14 wins, 4.91 ERA, 150 K in 199 IP. In other words, BUST.
Bottom line? Javy is going to be popular come selection time in March/April. I'll take a pass. I haven't ranked the pitchers yet, but Vaz(queese) is not likely to make the top 15.
Cheers,
TFAM
Monday, February 22, 2010
Waste Management Open
Welcome to the frat party. I actually spent a Saturday afternoon out at the Phoenix Open, which has since changed it's name twice, in the late 1990s. On that day, the highlight for me wasn't number 16 (I was by myself and not drinking), it was my near death experience on the front nine when an errant Lee Janzen drive missed my head by about three inches. After that, I'd had enough of the two time US Open champ and I spent the majority of my afternoon watching Tom Watson light up the back nine.
This week, the golfers return to TPC Scottsdale and no one is playing better than Ian Poulter, who is making his first appearance at this event. I fully expect him to be in the top 10 this week. Another Euro I'm curious about this week is Martin Kaymer, the eighth ranked player in the world who is also making his first start in Phoenix.
When dissecting the rest of the field it is hard to ignore Kevin Na, who has three top four finishes in his last four starts here. JB Holmes has two wins in the last four years at the TPC...and two missed cuts. Kenny Perry is the defender, but isn't really on form, which is something he shares with David Toms, who also isn't playing well enough despite several good results here. Brian Gay played well at the match play and has made five straight cuts in Phoenix with his result getting better each year (T6 in '09).
If you want star power Phil is here, and so are up and comers Sean O'Hair and Nick Watney. Ogilvy and Allenby are here too. Mickelson can win anywhere and has done it twice here. Finally, don't forget about Camilo Villegas. He played very well last week taking third at WGC, and frankly, may have been a three footer away from taking the whole thing. Villegas has missed the cut twice in his four starts here, but he also has a T2.
Talent
Mickelson
Poulter
Ogilvy
O'Hair
Allenby
History
Na
Perry
Mickelson
Holmes
Toms
On Form
Poulter
Kuchar
Allenby
Snedeker
Villegas
Not on Form
Mahan
Glover
Mickelson
Kim
Perry
My Picks
Poulter
Kuchar
Mickelson
Villegas
Kaymer
Cheers,
TFAM
This week, the golfers return to TPC Scottsdale and no one is playing better than Ian Poulter, who is making his first appearance at this event. I fully expect him to be in the top 10 this week. Another Euro I'm curious about this week is Martin Kaymer, the eighth ranked player in the world who is also making his first start in Phoenix.
When dissecting the rest of the field it is hard to ignore Kevin Na, who has three top four finishes in his last four starts here. JB Holmes has two wins in the last four years at the TPC...and two missed cuts. Kenny Perry is the defender, but isn't really on form, which is something he shares with David Toms, who also isn't playing well enough despite several good results here. Brian Gay played well at the match play and has made five straight cuts in Phoenix with his result getting better each year (T6 in '09).
If you want star power Phil is here, and so are up and comers Sean O'Hair and Nick Watney. Ogilvy and Allenby are here too. Mickelson can win anywhere and has done it twice here. Finally, don't forget about Camilo Villegas. He played very well last week taking third at WGC, and frankly, may have been a three footer away from taking the whole thing. Villegas has missed the cut twice in his four starts here, but he also has a T2.
Talent
Mickelson
Poulter
Ogilvy
O'Hair
Allenby
History
Na
Perry
Mickelson
Holmes
Toms
On Form
Poulter
Kuchar
Allenby
Snedeker
Villegas
Not on Form
Mahan
Glover
Mickelson
Kim
Perry
My Picks
Poulter
Kuchar
Mickelson
Villegas
Kaymer
Cheers,
TFAM
LT Released
Sometimes, we get reminded just how small the windows are for athletes to perform at an elite level. LaDainian Tomlinson, who looked like a threat to many NFL rushing and scoring marks just a few years ago, was released by San Diego Monday, failing to last even a decade with the team that drafted him in 2001.
Of course, we have to look at the fantasy ramifications of the move, and I'm going to argue that you need to pay close attention to who steps into the San Diego void, as that person is almost automatically going to have more fantasy value than LT going forward. Tomlinson has fared okay in fantasy circles over the last couple of years thanks to the Chargers offense and the multutude of scoring opportunities that they provided for their lead dog in the backfield. BUT, LT the okay fantasy player should not have been confused for LT the elite NFL running back. His skills have eroded drastically over the years which, when combined with the fact that his next team will likley not have the explosive offense the Chargers provided and the almost certain fact that he'll move into a part time role, will certainly take away much of the fantasy value going forward.
However, the remians of the Charger backfield don't produce a lot of electricity for me. Sure, Darren Sproles has his supporters, but he is a change of pace guy at best, and he isn't going to start reminding anyone of Marcus Allen at the stripe. Expect San Diego to go out and get a workhorse back capable of 20+ carries a game and able to punch it in the end zone...Tashard Choice? Thomas Jones? Brandon Jacobs? Jonathan Dwyer? Whoever that guy ends up being, I want him on my team.
Cheers,
TFAM
Of course, we have to look at the fantasy ramifications of the move, and I'm going to argue that you need to pay close attention to who steps into the San Diego void, as that person is almost automatically going to have more fantasy value than LT going forward. Tomlinson has fared okay in fantasy circles over the last couple of years thanks to the Chargers offense and the multutude of scoring opportunities that they provided for their lead dog in the backfield. BUT, LT the okay fantasy player should not have been confused for LT the elite NFL running back. His skills have eroded drastically over the years which, when combined with the fact that his next team will likley not have the explosive offense the Chargers provided and the almost certain fact that he'll move into a part time role, will certainly take away much of the fantasy value going forward.
However, the remians of the Charger backfield don't produce a lot of electricity for me. Sure, Darren Sproles has his supporters, but he is a change of pace guy at best, and he isn't going to start reminding anyone of Marcus Allen at the stripe. Expect San Diego to go out and get a workhorse back capable of 20+ carries a game and able to punch it in the end zone...Tashard Choice? Thomas Jones? Brandon Jacobs? Jonathan Dwyer? Whoever that guy ends up being, I want him on my team.
Cheers,
TFAM
Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Ranking the shortstops
Just sitting here shaking my hed over a few things...First, how did the Cavs just get Antawn Jamison for nothing? Second, why is Belarus-Switzerland women's hockey on at 9:30 while we have to wait until midnight for men's Slovakia-Czech Republic? Finally, why can't I watch Lindsey Vonn live? That one kills me.
Anyway, here are my shortstop rankings for the 2010 fantasy baseball season. I write this as olympic announcers are calling on Shaun White to do something called a McTwist.
1. H. Ramirez -- The steady decline in SBs would be a concern, if Hanley wasn't a .330 hitter with 30+ HR Power.
2. T. Tulowitski -- One of my few obsessions I've never owned. Keeper rules will continue the streak.
3. J. Rollins -- Still 20-30 in a year he greatly frustrated owners.
4. D. Jeter -- I'll take the guaranteed production across the board.
5. J. Reyes -- I trust my 33-year-old hammies more than Jose's at this point.
6. S. Drew -- I can't believe he's sixth. I guess I lke his power upside more than others.
7. A. Ramirez -- 20-20? I just wish he was a faster starter.
8. S. White -- I just saw the McTwist. Long live the tomato.
9. J. Bartlett -- I'd be stunned if last year wasn't his peak.
10. Y. Escobar -- Full on into the blahs.
11. E. Cabrera -- High, yes, but I needed to put him here to announce his sleeper potential. Big speed.
12. A. Cabrera -- The next few won't hurt.
13. M. Tejada -- As long as he gets the ABs.
14. M. Scutaro -- Scu, Scu, Scutaro. Move to Boston likely drops him in batting order.
15. O. Cabrera -- I like that he is in the National League. Cincinnati no less.
16. JJ Hardy -- May get back to 20 HR in Minnesota.
17. R. Theriot -- I'm just not a believer.
18. R. Furcal -- Still some upside.
19. E. Andrus -- Just no power.
20. A. Escobar -- Andrus 2009 clone.
21. J. Peralta -- Seriously, from 10 on, these guys are all the same value. Just pick the (lack of) skill set you want/need.
22. S. Castro -- Tough to rank him higher without a guaranteed role, but best fantasy prospect for 2010 at the position.
23. E. Aybar -- Skill set is...runs? Defense?
24. C. Barmes -- 20/10 last year.
25. C. Guzman -- Yep, that about does it.
There really isn't much more to love at the position. The rest of the guys willall be available as free agents in redraft leagues. In keeper/prospect formats, Jed Lowrie remains a semi-interesting name, but Boston signed Scutaro and Beltre to crush his opportunity. A. Escobar and Castro are likely the only top prospects that are even going to get a look in 2010. My favorite dynasty prospect at the position, Dee Gordon in LA (dodgers) has huge speed, but is a 2011 or 2012 guy most likely.
Cheers,
TFAM
Anyway, here are my shortstop rankings for the 2010 fantasy baseball season. I write this as olympic announcers are calling on Shaun White to do something called a McTwist.
1. H. Ramirez -- The steady decline in SBs would be a concern, if Hanley wasn't a .330 hitter with 30+ HR Power.
2. T. Tulowitski -- One of my few obsessions I've never owned. Keeper rules will continue the streak.
3. J. Rollins -- Still 20-30 in a year he greatly frustrated owners.
4. D. Jeter -- I'll take the guaranteed production across the board.
5. J. Reyes -- I trust my 33-year-old hammies more than Jose's at this point.
6. S. Drew -- I can't believe he's sixth. I guess I lke his power upside more than others.
7. A. Ramirez -- 20-20? I just wish he was a faster starter.
8. S. White -- I just saw the McTwist. Long live the tomato.
9. J. Bartlett -- I'd be stunned if last year wasn't his peak.
10. Y. Escobar -- Full on into the blahs.
11. E. Cabrera -- High, yes, but I needed to put him here to announce his sleeper potential. Big speed.
12. A. Cabrera -- The next few won't hurt.
13. M. Tejada -- As long as he gets the ABs.
14. M. Scutaro -- Scu, Scu, Scutaro. Move to Boston likely drops him in batting order.
15. O. Cabrera -- I like that he is in the National League. Cincinnati no less.
16. JJ Hardy -- May get back to 20 HR in Minnesota.
17. R. Theriot -- I'm just not a believer.
18. R. Furcal -- Still some upside.
19. E. Andrus -- Just no power.
20. A. Escobar -- Andrus 2009 clone.
21. J. Peralta -- Seriously, from 10 on, these guys are all the same value. Just pick the (lack of) skill set you want/need.
22. S. Castro -- Tough to rank him higher without a guaranteed role, but best fantasy prospect for 2010 at the position.
23. E. Aybar -- Skill set is...runs? Defense?
24. C. Barmes -- 20/10 last year.
25. C. Guzman -- Yep, that about does it.
There really isn't much more to love at the position. The rest of the guys willall be available as free agents in redraft leagues. In keeper/prospect formats, Jed Lowrie remains a semi-interesting name, but Boston signed Scutaro and Beltre to crush his opportunity. A. Escobar and Castro are likely the only top prospects that are even going to get a look in 2010. My favorite dynasty prospect at the position, Dee Gordon in LA (dodgers) has huge speed, but is a 2011 or 2012 guy most likely.
Cheers,
TFAM
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
WGC Accenture Match Play
Forget March, who doesn't like filling out a bracket in February? As far as golf tournaments go, the match play is about as much fun as you can get outside if the pressure and history involved with major championships. As for my thoughts here, I think it wil be chaotic, as always. Unlike March Madness, a 16 over a 1 here is commonplace, and any of the top 64 players in the world (OK, top 66) is highly capable of pulling off an upset in one 18 hole round.
You may think Geoff Ogilvy is the huge favorite because he has two titles and three finals in the last four years, and he might be, but the Ritz-Carlton course they are playing on this week has only been in play for one year (2009) in this championship. Therefore, while we can safely say Ogilvy dominates this format, we don't have enough of a sample to say he is dominant on this course. I'll opt instead for another heavy hitter who made a run to the final last year, Paul Casey. I like Casey's game and I like his draw. He may be in the easist bracket. Of course, considering I have been whiffing as of late in my one-and-done format, watch Casey lose to crappy Stephen Ames tomorrow.
Wow, am I anti-American? I only have two Yankees in the final 16....Stricker and O'Hair.
Bobby Jones Bracket
First round winners
Stricker
Sim
Karlsson
Fisher
Harrington
Kim
Poulter
Cabrera
Second round winners
Stricker
Karlsson
Harrington
Poulter
Third round winners
Stricker
Poulter
Bracket winner
Stricker
Ben Hogan Bracket
First round winners
Campbell
Clark
Garcia
Glover
McIlroy
Jimenez
Allenby
Donald
Second round winners
Clark
Garcia
Jimenez
Donald
Third round winners
Clark
Jimenez
Bracket winner
Jimenez
Gary Player Bracket
First round winners
Westwood
Watney
Els
Goosen
Stenson
Kjeldsen
Ogilvy
Villegas
Second round winners
Westwood
Els
Stenson
Ogilvy
Third round winners
Els
Stenson
Bracket winner
Els
Sam Snead Bracket
First round winners
Furyk
Schwartzel
O"Hair
Cink
Casey
Weir
Perry
F. Molinari
Second round winners
Schwartzel
O'Hair
Casey
F. Molinari
Third round winners
O'Hair
Casey
Bracket winner
Casey
Semifinals
Stricker over Jimenez
Casey over Els
Final
Casey over Stricker
Third place
Els over Jimenez
You may think Geoff Ogilvy is the huge favorite because he has two titles and three finals in the last four years, and he might be, but the Ritz-Carlton course they are playing on this week has only been in play for one year (2009) in this championship. Therefore, while we can safely say Ogilvy dominates this format, we don't have enough of a sample to say he is dominant on this course. I'll opt instead for another heavy hitter who made a run to the final last year, Paul Casey. I like Casey's game and I like his draw. He may be in the easist bracket. Of course, considering I have been whiffing as of late in my one-and-done format, watch Casey lose to crappy Stephen Ames tomorrow.
Wow, am I anti-American? I only have two Yankees in the final 16....Stricker and O'Hair.
Bobby Jones Bracket
First round winners
Stricker
Sim
Karlsson
Fisher
Harrington
Kim
Poulter
Cabrera
Second round winners
Stricker
Karlsson
Harrington
Poulter
Third round winners
Stricker
Poulter
Bracket winner
Stricker
Ben Hogan Bracket
First round winners
Campbell
Clark
Garcia
Glover
McIlroy
Jimenez
Allenby
Donald
Second round winners
Clark
Garcia
Jimenez
Donald
Third round winners
Clark
Jimenez
Bracket winner
Jimenez
Gary Player Bracket
First round winners
Westwood
Watney
Els
Goosen
Stenson
Kjeldsen
Ogilvy
Villegas
Second round winners
Westwood
Els
Stenson
Ogilvy
Third round winners
Els
Stenson
Bracket winner
Els
Sam Snead Bracket
First round winners
Furyk
Schwartzel
O"Hair
Cink
Casey
Weir
Perry
F. Molinari
Second round winners
Schwartzel
O'Hair
Casey
F. Molinari
Third round winners
O'Hair
Casey
Bracket winner
Casey
Semifinals
Stricker over Jimenez
Casey over Els
Final
Casey over Stricker
Third place
Els over Jimenez
Monday, February 15, 2010
Ranking the third basemen
What ever happened to Morganna, the kissing bandit? Did we miss an official retirement announcement? Well, like Morganna, third base is very top heavy this year, with three first rounders and a whole lot of question marks.
1. A. Rodriguez -- Found out Alex just kissed himself in the mirror when he learned he was atop my board.
2. D. Wright -- I'm still a believer in Wright, who is a top 10 guy with just 20 HR. He'll get there.
3. E. Longoria -- 35 HR should be in play
4. P. Sandoval -- Starts a run of 1B/3B guys. Love the average, but a significant step down from top three.
5. M. Reynolds -- Surprise 20 + steals, not surprising 200+ K.
6. K. Youkilis -- Reliable numbers, little upside.
7. R. Zimmerman -- Overhyped until '09. If he can repeat .280-30-100-100 he may actually be underrrated.
8. C. Figgins -- Not a fan, value completely tied up in speed, which is a good gamble for a fifth outfielder or middle infielder, not a third baseman ranked this high.
9. M. Young --The dropoff clearly was at seven. Young won't hurt, if that helps.
10. C. Jones -- Better in the H2H format where you can alter your lineup daily to adjust for his injuries.
11. A. Ramirez -- No thanks.
12. G. Beckham -- Much rather have Becks at a cheaper price than the four options just above, but he's probably a 2B when he becomes eligible.
13. A. Gordon -- The fact that he is this high proves two things. 3B is atrocious, and I am determined to make a fool of myself with him again.
14. I. Stewart -- Better at 2B, but has 25-30 HR power and upside.
15. A. Beltre -- Lots of pressure, second half player. Don't draft.
16. C. Headley -- When the bottom falls out, the young guys are my targets.
17. J. Cantu -- Should get to 20 HR, I'm struggling to get to 20 3B.
18. M. DeRosa -- Who cares.
19. A. LaRoche -- Andy the Pirate. Could be done if he doesn't perform early.
20. B. Wood -- Big power, unknown playing time, maybe a 4A player. Still, upside. SS possibility too.
Third base is really tough, and you won't find me relying on any of the guys below Gordon to man the position. Keep an eye on Mat Gamel in Milwaukee. If he gets ABs, he could be a nice additon. As far as prospects go, Brett Wallace is an interesting bat in Toronto. If he makes the club (even at 1B) he could be a nice late flier. Pedro Alvarez is going to get the call at some point in Pittsburgh, and he is likely to hit right away. Miguel Tejada is going to be in the mix here too once he gets the ABs at third in Baltimore. He'd be in the top 15 on the list when he qualifies. Am I forgetting anyone? Casey Blake and Mark Teahen do nothing for me.
Cheers,
TFAM
1. A. Rodriguez -- Found out Alex just kissed himself in the mirror when he learned he was atop my board.
2. D. Wright -- I'm still a believer in Wright, who is a top 10 guy with just 20 HR. He'll get there.
3. E. Longoria -- 35 HR should be in play
4. P. Sandoval -- Starts a run of 1B/3B guys. Love the average, but a significant step down from top three.
5. M. Reynolds -- Surprise 20 + steals, not surprising 200+ K.
6. K. Youkilis -- Reliable numbers, little upside.
7. R. Zimmerman -- Overhyped until '09. If he can repeat .280-30-100-100 he may actually be underrrated.
8. C. Figgins -- Not a fan, value completely tied up in speed, which is a good gamble for a fifth outfielder or middle infielder, not a third baseman ranked this high.
9. M. Young --The dropoff clearly was at seven. Young won't hurt, if that helps.
10. C. Jones -- Better in the H2H format where you can alter your lineup daily to adjust for his injuries.
11. A. Ramirez -- No thanks.
12. G. Beckham -- Much rather have Becks at a cheaper price than the four options just above, but he's probably a 2B when he becomes eligible.
13. A. Gordon -- The fact that he is this high proves two things. 3B is atrocious, and I am determined to make a fool of myself with him again.
14. I. Stewart -- Better at 2B, but has 25-30 HR power and upside.
15. A. Beltre -- Lots of pressure, second half player. Don't draft.
16. C. Headley -- When the bottom falls out, the young guys are my targets.
17. J. Cantu -- Should get to 20 HR, I'm struggling to get to 20 3B.
18. M. DeRosa -- Who cares.
19. A. LaRoche -- Andy the Pirate. Could be done if he doesn't perform early.
20. B. Wood -- Big power, unknown playing time, maybe a 4A player. Still, upside. SS possibility too.
Third base is really tough, and you won't find me relying on any of the guys below Gordon to man the position. Keep an eye on Mat Gamel in Milwaukee. If he gets ABs, he could be a nice additon. As far as prospects go, Brett Wallace is an interesting bat in Toronto. If he makes the club (even at 1B) he could be a nice late flier. Pedro Alvarez is going to get the call at some point in Pittsburgh, and he is likely to hit right away. Miguel Tejada is going to be in the mix here too once he gets the ABs at third in Baltimore. He'd be in the top 15 on the list when he qualifies. Am I forgetting anyone? Casey Blake and Mark Teahen do nothing for me.
Cheers,
TFAM
Thursday, February 11, 2010
Friday Five
The Olympics start today, which makes me think back to the likes of Pirmin Zurbriggen and Eddie the Eagle (the real one, not crappy Belfour), two of my favorite winter olympians ever. Still nothing those two did can top the five greatest winter olympic moments I have unearthed for the Five this week. Before I get to that though, I'll lay down my predictions on the hockey tourney.
Gold medal game: Sweden over Canada, again...(more on this later).
Bronze medal game: Russia over Finland
Sweden is always my squad and you can bet I'll be busting out my Tre Kroner Forsberg jersey multiple times over the next couple of weeks. Sweden's squad is just devastating, with the Sedin's, Zetterberg, Backstrom, Alfredsson and co. up front along with Forsberg, Lidstrom and friends on the blue line and Lundqvist in net.
Anyway, onto the five greatest winter olympic moments. I actually rode down the Lillihammer track in a bobsled, BTW. It was a top five moment of my life.
Respect, Mon!
Hermann Maier won multiple gold medals in 1998 days after this scene in his downhill race.
How about this Australian dude winning gold in short track. Right place, right time? Classic.
I have to save the number one spot, but Forsberg's shootout goal to help take down Canada for gold in 1994 (when he was still an amateur) was the greatest I have seen considering the circumstances.
Finally, you know Miracle on Ice is number one. Michels call is legendary, and the moment is still breathtaking 30 years later.
Cheers,
TFAM
Gold medal game: Sweden over Canada, again...(more on this later).
Bronze medal game: Russia over Finland
Sweden is always my squad and you can bet I'll be busting out my Tre Kroner Forsberg jersey multiple times over the next couple of weeks. Sweden's squad is just devastating, with the Sedin's, Zetterberg, Backstrom, Alfredsson and co. up front along with Forsberg, Lidstrom and friends on the blue line and Lundqvist in net.
Anyway, onto the five greatest winter olympic moments. I actually rode down the Lillihammer track in a bobsled, BTW. It was a top five moment of my life.
Respect, Mon!
Hermann Maier won multiple gold medals in 1998 days after this scene in his downhill race.
How about this Australian dude winning gold in short track. Right place, right time? Classic.
I have to save the number one spot, but Forsberg's shootout goal to help take down Canada for gold in 1994 (when he was still an amateur) was the greatest I have seen considering the circumstances.
Finally, you know Miracle on Ice is number one. Michels call is legendary, and the moment is still breathtaking 30 years later.
Cheers,
TFAM
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Ranking the second basemen
Time to continue the series of rankings for 2010 fantasy baseball. We've gone throuh the catchers and first basemen, two positions that are drastically different in terms of quality of talent. I mean, Kurt Suzuki in the top 10? Ouch. Catchers suck. Anyway, we move to second basemen this week, which is a position where talent can certainly be found. I know I feel this group is much deeper than shortstop, and isn't too far behind third base in my mind. Still, it certainly is top heavy, with a top five overall player anchoring the rankings at number one.
1. C. Utley -- Like Mauer and Pujols, Utley way ahead of number two.
2. I. Kinsler -- 30-30 is hard to ingore, and I love him, but he gets hurt every year.
3. D. Pedroia -- Lock for .300-15-15 with a bunch of runs. Average and consistency.
4. R. Cano -- Second half player, but will finish with great #'s save SBs.
5. A. Hill -- Same chance of reaching 35 HR again as Bartolo Colon winning Cy in 2010.
6. B. Roberts -- I guess I like the steals, but SBs have gone 50-40-30 over last three years. Average declining too.
7. B. Zobrist -- I need to see him back it up, but could be top three option next year at 2B.
8. B. Phillips -- Average so low that any SB drop off would kill his value. Still 20-20.
9. H. Kendrick -- Still I look to find a reason to believe.
10. R. Weeks -- I know, I know, Weeks, as in, enjoy the first few...tougher sell than Kendrick, but 140 games= 25-25.
11. D. Uggla -- Probably should be #9, I just hate the average and want speed in a MI.
12. I. Stewart -- Has a chance for 25-30 HR. Average will be key. ABs should be there.
13. J. Lopez -- Another 25 HR contender, and likely the last guy on the list worth anything.
14. A. Cabrera -- Value only due to 17 SBs. Huge dropoff from top 13.
15. C. Barmes -- Hunch says not to believe 23 HR or 12 SB.
16. K. Johnson -- New home in AZ, could rebound in 2010. Should get the ABs.
17. S. Sizemore -- I'd rather take a chance on a rook than draft Freddy Sanchez...
18. F. Sanchez -- ...who starts the waiver wire list.
19. F. Lopez -- Will he get 500 ABs when and if he signs?
20. O. Hudson -- Won't hurt you, won't help you. Kinda like eating lettuce.
A couple other names to be aware of here. Gordon Beckham doesn't qualify yet, but he is slated to be the Chi Sox 2B this year. He fits somewhere in the 8-12 range when he hits the requirements. Mark Ellis will help in streaks, but is more of a two week cup of coffee guy. Kaz Matsui is a threat for cheap speed, and Chris Coghlan is a natural second baseman killing his fantasy value in LF due to the presence of Uggla. As far as prospects go, there isn't much here worth noting at this point. Not much at all. I do like Brett Lawrie in Milwaukee, but consensus seems to think he is more than a year away and may have to move off the position. Oh, and there's Dustin Ackley, who is a polished hitter, but most think the second base experiment simply will not work and he'll head back to CF and appear in Seattle in 2011.
I think we'll run with the hot corner on Saturday.
Cheers,
TFAM
1. C. Utley -- Like Mauer and Pujols, Utley way ahead of number two.
2. I. Kinsler -- 30-30 is hard to ingore, and I love him, but he gets hurt every year.
3. D. Pedroia -- Lock for .300-15-15 with a bunch of runs. Average and consistency.
4. R. Cano -- Second half player, but will finish with great #'s save SBs.
5. A. Hill -- Same chance of reaching 35 HR again as Bartolo Colon winning Cy in 2010.
6. B. Roberts -- I guess I like the steals, but SBs have gone 50-40-30 over last three years. Average declining too.
7. B. Zobrist -- I need to see him back it up, but could be top three option next year at 2B.
8. B. Phillips -- Average so low that any SB drop off would kill his value. Still 20-20.
9. H. Kendrick -- Still I look to find a reason to believe.
10. R. Weeks -- I know, I know, Weeks, as in, enjoy the first few...tougher sell than Kendrick, but 140 games= 25-25.
11. D. Uggla -- Probably should be #9, I just hate the average and want speed in a MI.
12. I. Stewart -- Has a chance for 25-30 HR. Average will be key. ABs should be there.
13. J. Lopez -- Another 25 HR contender, and likely the last guy on the list worth anything.
14. A. Cabrera -- Value only due to 17 SBs. Huge dropoff from top 13.
15. C. Barmes -- Hunch says not to believe 23 HR or 12 SB.
16. K. Johnson -- New home in AZ, could rebound in 2010. Should get the ABs.
17. S. Sizemore -- I'd rather take a chance on a rook than draft Freddy Sanchez...
18. F. Sanchez -- ...who starts the waiver wire list.
19. F. Lopez -- Will he get 500 ABs when and if he signs?
20. O. Hudson -- Won't hurt you, won't help you. Kinda like eating lettuce.
A couple other names to be aware of here. Gordon Beckham doesn't qualify yet, but he is slated to be the Chi Sox 2B this year. He fits somewhere in the 8-12 range when he hits the requirements. Mark Ellis will help in streaks, but is more of a two week cup of coffee guy. Kaz Matsui is a threat for cheap speed, and Chris Coghlan is a natural second baseman killing his fantasy value in LF due to the presence of Uggla. As far as prospects go, there isn't much here worth noting at this point. Not much at all. I do like Brett Lawrie in Milwaukee, but consensus seems to think he is more than a year away and may have to move off the position. Oh, and there's Dustin Ackley, who is a polished hitter, but most think the second base experiment simply will not work and he'll head back to CF and appear in Seattle in 2011.
I think we'll run with the hot corner on Saturday.
Cheers,
TFAM
Tuesday, February 9, 2010
AT & T Pebble Beach
Thankfully, this weekend marks the end of what is a bit of a silly season in the golf world. The West Coast Swing has a bunch of gimmicky events, with the AT & T being no different, as amatuers and multiple courses are back one last time. Next week, the match play will mark the beginning of the real golf season, and we'll begin to see the likes of Prugh and Snedeker replaced by Furyk and Harrington.
I have a feeling Dustin Johnson is going to be on a lot of rosters this week, as he is the defending champ here and he posted a T3 last week in LA. I didn;t really like the way he played last weekend though, and I am not forecasting a top 10 for DJ. Mike Weir is also a consideration this week as he has a whopping five top fives in his last seven starts in this event. Weir did miss the cut a week ago however and is not on top of his game. Both VJ and DL3 also have great histories here but appear to be well past their prime, so they would be gambles.
The star power this week comes with Phil, Sergio, Harrington, Furyk and Goosen, with the latter two being the best bets to perform. Both have started well this year and have strong histories at this event. In addition to those two, my other two top plays are Matt Kuchar and Tim Clark. Clark is on the verge and I could see him winning this week. He tied for second at the last Pro-Am event at the Hope. Kuchar has a T14, T34 and T6 in his last three starts at this event and has played very well to start the season. I like his putting and I like that he is playing with a lot of confidence.
Rankings
1. Furyk
2. Goosen
3. Kuchar
4. Clark
5. Mickelson
Cheers,
TFAM
I have a feeling Dustin Johnson is going to be on a lot of rosters this week, as he is the defending champ here and he posted a T3 last week in LA. I didn;t really like the way he played last weekend though, and I am not forecasting a top 10 for DJ. Mike Weir is also a consideration this week as he has a whopping five top fives in his last seven starts in this event. Weir did miss the cut a week ago however and is not on top of his game. Both VJ and DL3 also have great histories here but appear to be well past their prime, so they would be gambles.
The star power this week comes with Phil, Sergio, Harrington, Furyk and Goosen, with the latter two being the best bets to perform. Both have started well this year and have strong histories at this event. In addition to those two, my other two top plays are Matt Kuchar and Tim Clark. Clark is on the verge and I could see him winning this week. He tied for second at the last Pro-Am event at the Hope. Kuchar has a T14, T34 and T6 in his last three starts at this event and has played very well to start the season. I like his putting and I like that he is playing with a lot of confidence.
Rankings
1. Furyk
2. Goosen
3. Kuchar
4. Clark
5. Mickelson
Cheers,
TFAM
Monday, February 8, 2010
As Seen on TV
A little post Super Bowl edition of As Seen, which will be the last version of this column until April, when the baseball season kicks in and I spend the next six months trying to convince my wife that I watch less baseball than I actually do.
Anyway...
Shocking end of the game sequence for Peyton last night. In a game that was supposed to be a coronation, he throws the pick, then loses his mind briefly on the Colts last drive and calls time out, which could very well have been the killer if they would have managed to score on that drive. Indy still had three time outs and over a minute on the clock. You think any Saints fans would have felt secure with :45 seconds left and Manning with the ball at the 35?
Jim Caldwell is so great. I think the whole world was making jokes last night about how his expression never changes, but my buddy Jeff has the best one at our venue. When it became clear that Manning was coaching the Colts (the fourth and two in the seconed half), Jeff remarked that Caldwell wears a wrist band to check and see what play Manning is calling. Good stuff.
I'm not sure if Manning or Caldwell sent out Matt Stover for the 51 yarder, but we all knew that was a bad idea before he kicked it, right? Paging Mr. Vinatieri...
Funny how people are still more interested in the Colts even though they lost.
My co-MVPs last night were Carrie Underwood and Pete Townshend. Underwood's lenghty last few notes had us riveted and eventually brought the house down when she passed the 1:47 mark. Townshend obilterated the over/under on his windmill move (5 1/2), casting suspicion that he actually caught wind of the number and was making some cash.
Pierre Garcon is the real deal. I'm trying not to get carried away, but he may be better than Reggie Wayne, right now.
Where was Mike Bell all playoffs? Will Pierre be the workhorse next year? He deserves it, but that hasn;t stopped Sean Payton from screwing around with us before.
Cheers,
TFAM
Anyway...
Shocking end of the game sequence for Peyton last night. In a game that was supposed to be a coronation, he throws the pick, then loses his mind briefly on the Colts last drive and calls time out, which could very well have been the killer if they would have managed to score on that drive. Indy still had three time outs and over a minute on the clock. You think any Saints fans would have felt secure with :45 seconds left and Manning with the ball at the 35?
Jim Caldwell is so great. I think the whole world was making jokes last night about how his expression never changes, but my buddy Jeff has the best one at our venue. When it became clear that Manning was coaching the Colts (the fourth and two in the seconed half), Jeff remarked that Caldwell wears a wrist band to check and see what play Manning is calling. Good stuff.
I'm not sure if Manning or Caldwell sent out Matt Stover for the 51 yarder, but we all knew that was a bad idea before he kicked it, right? Paging Mr. Vinatieri...
Funny how people are still more interested in the Colts even though they lost.
My co-MVPs last night were Carrie Underwood and Pete Townshend. Underwood's lenghty last few notes had us riveted and eventually brought the house down when she passed the 1:47 mark. Townshend obilterated the over/under on his windmill move (5 1/2), casting suspicion that he actually caught wind of the number and was making some cash.
Pierre Garcon is the real deal. I'm trying not to get carried away, but he may be better than Reggie Wayne, right now.
Where was Mike Bell all playoffs? Will Pierre be the workhorse next year? He deserves it, but that hasn;t stopped Sean Payton from screwing around with us before.
Cheers,
TFAM
Sunday, February 7, 2010
Super Bowl Stampede
You know who the happiest 53 men in the country were two weeks ago when the Saints allowed the Vikings to finish themselves off that Sunday night in New Orleans? The Colts. Why? Well, if the Saints needed 12 turnovers, questionable officiating and an overtime field goal to win the NFC title on their home field, then they aren't exactly going to have the should-be-undefeated Colts shaking in their horseshoes.
I know I've been hard on the Colts all year, and I still don't love that team. But, they have the best player that has ever played the game on their side and he is brimming with confidence. The Saints can score, sure, but the Vikings showed they can also be stopped. The turnovers aren't going to come in bunches against the Colts, who should have this one wrapped up by the five minute mark. As much as I've hated on them all year, I see no scenario where New Orleans defense stops Indy.
Final score: Colts 34, Saints 20
MVP: Peyton Manning
Archie Manning shots: Under 4 1/2
Carrie Underwood's National Anthem: Over 1:42
Hurricane Katrina mentioned: Under 2 1/2
Pete Townshend windmills: Over 5 1/2
Target of Smashed Guitar: Floor
Gatorade color: Blue (taking the longshot here)
Who will the MVP thank first? Teammates
Kim Kardashian's top color: White
Eli Manning shots: Under 3
Super Bowl Champion Apparel before the final whistle? Yes
Cheers,
TFAM
I know I've been hard on the Colts all year, and I still don't love that team. But, they have the best player that has ever played the game on their side and he is brimming with confidence. The Saints can score, sure, but the Vikings showed they can also be stopped. The turnovers aren't going to come in bunches against the Colts, who should have this one wrapped up by the five minute mark. As much as I've hated on them all year, I see no scenario where New Orleans defense stops Indy.
Final score: Colts 34, Saints 20
MVP: Peyton Manning
Archie Manning shots: Under 4 1/2
Carrie Underwood's National Anthem: Over 1:42
Hurricane Katrina mentioned: Under 2 1/2
Pete Townshend windmills: Over 5 1/2
Target of Smashed Guitar: Floor
Gatorade color: Blue (taking the longshot here)
Who will the MVP thank first? Teammates
Kim Kardashian's top color: White
Eli Manning shots: Under 3
Super Bowl Champion Apparel before the final whistle? Yes
Cheers,
TFAM
Saturday, February 6, 2010
Holy Props Batman
My buddy Huse gave me the friendly reminder a few days back to make sure and check out the proposition bets than can be placed on the game. Now, I'm not one for wagering much, but some of them are highly entertaining.
You can find a full list of the props here, but I've picked out a few for your enjoyment.
Among my favorites....
Super Bowl XLIV - How Many Times will CBS show Archie Manning on TV during the Game?
Wager is on the number of times Archie Manning will appear on TV during the Game (from kick off until final whistle). Live pictures only, Any Taped Pictures or Past Video does not count towards wager.
Over 4½ (-200)
Under 4½ (+160)
Super Bowl XLIV - If the New Orleans Saints win will Kim Kardashian and Reggie Bush be engaged by July 31st 2010?
If the New Orleans Saints do not win the game then all wagers have no action. If the Saints win then all wager will have action until July 31st 2010.
Yes +135
No -165
Super Bowl XLIV - How Many Times will CBS announcers fully mention Hurricane Katrina during the game?
Wager is on the number of times announcers specifically say - Hurricane Katrina - during the Game (from kick off until final whistle).
Over 2½ (-210)
Under 2½ (+170)
Super Bowl XLIV - How long will it take Carrie Underwood to sing the National Anthem?
Clock starts as soon as Underwood sings first Note and Stops when she sings her last note.
Over 1 Minute and 42 Seconds -155
Under 1 Minute and 42 Seconds +125
Super Bowl XLIV - How many times will Pete Townshend do his legendary windmill move?
Windmill move must be a full 360 degree revolution and be shown on TV to be counted for this wager.
Over 5½ (-260)
Under 5½ (+200)
Super Bowl XLIV - If any member of the Who smashes their guitar what does the guitar hit first?
For fan to be the winner it must be a human fan. If he hits two at the same time then all wagers are no action.
Floor -600
Speaker +550
Microphone +550
Drummer +20000
Fan +20000
Super Bowl XLIV - What Color will the Gatorade be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the Winning Super Bowl Team?
Lime Green +900
Yellow -115
Orange +550
Red +800
Blue +1250
Clear/Water +185
Super Bowl XLIV - Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game thank first?
Wager is on Interview done with the Super Bowl MVP on field during the Trophy Presentation only.
God +180
Family +1000
Teammates EVEN
Coach +1200
Does not Thank Anyone +200
Super Bowl XLIV - What color top will Kim Kardashian be wearing at the Super Bowl?
Wager is on color of top and not on jacket if seperate top and jacket are shown. If two or more options are combined as the primary color on top then all wagers are no action.
Black -190
White +325
Any Other Color +180
Super Bowl XLIV - How Many Times will CBS show Eli Manning on TV during the Game?
Wager is on the number of times Eli Manning will appear on TV during the Game (from kick off until final whistle). Live pictures only, Any Taped Pictures or Past Video does not count towards wager.
Over 3 (-225)
Under 3 (+185)
Super Bowl XLIV - Will they show clothing apparel proclaiming the Super Bowl Champion before the final whistle?
Must be shown proclaiming the Super Bowl XLIV champion for yes to be graded the winner.
Yes -220
No +180
Thanks Huse.
Cheers,
TFAM
You can find a full list of the props here, but I've picked out a few for your enjoyment.
Among my favorites....
Super Bowl XLIV - How Many Times will CBS show Archie Manning on TV during the Game?
Wager is on the number of times Archie Manning will appear on TV during the Game (from kick off until final whistle). Live pictures only, Any Taped Pictures or Past Video does not count towards wager.
Over 4½ (-200)
Under 4½ (+160)
Super Bowl XLIV - If the New Orleans Saints win will Kim Kardashian and Reggie Bush be engaged by July 31st 2010?
If the New Orleans Saints do not win the game then all wagers have no action. If the Saints win then all wager will have action until July 31st 2010.
Yes +135
No -165
Super Bowl XLIV - How Many Times will CBS announcers fully mention Hurricane Katrina during the game?
Wager is on the number of times announcers specifically say - Hurricane Katrina - during the Game (from kick off until final whistle).
Over 2½ (-210)
Under 2½ (+170)
Super Bowl XLIV - How long will it take Carrie Underwood to sing the National Anthem?
Clock starts as soon as Underwood sings first Note and Stops when she sings her last note.
Over 1 Minute and 42 Seconds -155
Under 1 Minute and 42 Seconds +125
Super Bowl XLIV - How many times will Pete Townshend do his legendary windmill move?
Windmill move must be a full 360 degree revolution and be shown on TV to be counted for this wager.
Over 5½ (-260)
Under 5½ (+200)
Super Bowl XLIV - If any member of the Who smashes their guitar what does the guitar hit first?
For fan to be the winner it must be a human fan. If he hits two at the same time then all wagers are no action.
Floor -600
Speaker +550
Microphone +550
Drummer +20000
Fan +20000
Super Bowl XLIV - What Color will the Gatorade be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the Winning Super Bowl Team?
Lime Green +900
Yellow -115
Orange +550
Red +800
Blue +1250
Clear/Water +185
Super Bowl XLIV - Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game thank first?
Wager is on Interview done with the Super Bowl MVP on field during the Trophy Presentation only.
God +180
Family +1000
Teammates EVEN
Coach +1200
Does not Thank Anyone +200
Super Bowl XLIV - What color top will Kim Kardashian be wearing at the Super Bowl?
Wager is on color of top and not on jacket if seperate top and jacket are shown. If two or more options are combined as the primary color on top then all wagers are no action.
Black -190
White +325
Any Other Color +180
Super Bowl XLIV - How Many Times will CBS show Eli Manning on TV during the Game?
Wager is on the number of times Eli Manning will appear on TV during the Game (from kick off until final whistle). Live pictures only, Any Taped Pictures or Past Video does not count towards wager.
Over 3 (-225)
Under 3 (+185)
Super Bowl XLIV - Will they show clothing apparel proclaiming the Super Bowl Champion before the final whistle?
Must be shown proclaiming the Super Bowl XLIV champion for yes to be graded the winner.
Yes -220
No +180
Thanks Huse.
Cheers,
TFAM
Friday, February 5, 2010
Friday Five
Greatest Super Bowl ever played? Remember, I like to keep it to my lifetime, or, more specifically, the games that I have watched. For me, that is Super Bowl XXV, Giants 20, Bills 19.
The game is terrific for many, many reasons, from Jeff Hostetler's mere presence (and moustache) to the ridiculous postgame rally the Bills fans held after their losing effort. You think Bill Buckner was given this treatment in Brookline in 1986?
The spectacle before the game, you remember, was fantastic as well, with Whitney Houston bringing the house down with the Star Spangled Banner. You know, watching this clip screams that we are completely desensitized to the combat that has engaged our troops for the past seven years.
The game highlights are here, and there are some standout plays to say the least. Check out Hostetler avioding disaster in the end zone with Bruce Smith attempting to tear the ball loose on a safety in the first half. Also, at the 7:30 mark, Mark Ingram wills himself to a first down on a key third and 13. Finally, notice that every Norwood kick, from field goal to PAT, drifts to the right all game long. Don't blame the laces folks. Of course, the game culminates with the wide right moment that spawned one of the great perfomances ever, that of Vincent Gallo in Buffalo '66.
Finally, if it makes you feel better as a Bills fan, this is the way the game was supposed to turn out, or something like that. Was Thurman really that good?
Cheers,
TFAM
The game is terrific for many, many reasons, from Jeff Hostetler's mere presence (and moustache) to the ridiculous postgame rally the Bills fans held after their losing effort. You think Bill Buckner was given this treatment in Brookline in 1986?
The spectacle before the game, you remember, was fantastic as well, with Whitney Houston bringing the house down with the Star Spangled Banner. You know, watching this clip screams that we are completely desensitized to the combat that has engaged our troops for the past seven years.
The game highlights are here, and there are some standout plays to say the least. Check out Hostetler avioding disaster in the end zone with Bruce Smith attempting to tear the ball loose on a safety in the first half. Also, at the 7:30 mark, Mark Ingram wills himself to a first down on a key third and 13. Finally, notice that every Norwood kick, from field goal to PAT, drifts to the right all game long. Don't blame the laces folks. Of course, the game culminates with the wide right moment that spawned one of the great perfomances ever, that of Vincent Gallo in Buffalo '66.
Finally, if it makes you feel better as a Bills fan, this is the way the game was supposed to turn out, or something like that. Was Thurman really that good?
Cheers,
TFAM
Wednesday, February 3, 2010
Ranking the first basemen
Now that we're done with the insignificance of catchers on the fantasy baseball landscape, we can move on to first base, which is generally seen as the deepest position in this year's talent pool. I love first baseman, and am not typically a guy who ignores the deepest positions (1B, OF) to abide by the laws of position scarcity. I want the best players, period.
1. A. Pujols -- Easily the number one overall choice, even contributed 16 steals in '09.
2. M. Cabrera -- The batting average (.311 career) earns him this spot. Barely.
3. P. Fielder -- Lots to love (literally), but nothing is better than his week-to-week consistency.
4. M. Teixeira -- I think he's better in year two in New York. Could be number two in 2011.
5. R. Howard -- I hate his slow starts, he's worse than Tex at this. Always rebounds late though.
6. A. Gonzalez -- 35 HR, money in the bank.
7. P. Sandoval -- I love the .330 BA. Actually reminds me of Kirby Puckett at the dish.
8. K. Morales -- It took a few years, but I'd say .305-34-108 was worth the wait. Tough to repeat that line.
9. J. Morneau -- Great first half player, which means he is high on the (my) list.
10. M. Reynolds -- I hate the average, but 44 HR, 24 SB? Extremely valuable. Also 3B eligible, where he has more value.
11. K. Youkilis -- .300-25-90-90 should be pretty easy to achieve for Youk.
12. J. Votto -- Not a huge fan, but '09 totals say I may be wrong. Needs to stay healthy.
13. D. Lee -- Hit the quietest 35 jacks in recent memory in '09. Speed is gone though.
14. A. Dunn -- Cheaper guaranteed power. Not much difference in value 6-14 on the list. Am I now talking myself into the scarcity argument?
15. B. Butler -- He's on the rise.
16. C. Pena -- Move him up in OBP leagues. .227 BA is a killer though.
17. L. Berkman -- My buddy Steve loves the puma...does anyone else?
18. J. Loney -- Admittedly, I have unwarrented affection.
19. T. Helton -- An older version of what Loney can give.
20. C. Delgado -- I think he goes back to the Mets.
There are other groups of guys to talk about as well. Cuddyer, V-Mart, Swisher, LaPorta and Jose Lopez qualify here, but you're playing them elsewhere. Prospects at first include the highly regarded Justin Smoak, who is likely to steal time from Chris Davis in Texas at some point (although, Davis may be a nice gamble in April-May), the apositional Jesus Montero of the Yankees (big bat, listed at catcher), Brett Wallace of Toronto, Logan Morrison of Florida, and Chris Carter of Oakland (big power). All these guys are locks to be up at some point in 2010 except Montero, and all make nice keeper bats. I like them in about the order they are listed.
If you are scrounging, I don;t see much difference between the likes of Aubrey Huff, Adam LaRoche, Garrett Jones, Jorge Cantu, Nick Johnson and any other stiff you can find. All are likely to disappoint besides LaRoche, who will have infuriated you to the point of cutting him just before he gets hot in August and helps someone else push toward the playoffs.
Cheers,
TFAM
1. A. Pujols -- Easily the number one overall choice, even contributed 16 steals in '09.
2. M. Cabrera -- The batting average (.311 career) earns him this spot. Barely.
3. P. Fielder -- Lots to love (literally), but nothing is better than his week-to-week consistency.
4. M. Teixeira -- I think he's better in year two in New York. Could be number two in 2011.
5. R. Howard -- I hate his slow starts, he's worse than Tex at this. Always rebounds late though.
6. A. Gonzalez -- 35 HR, money in the bank.
7. P. Sandoval -- I love the .330 BA. Actually reminds me of Kirby Puckett at the dish.
8. K. Morales -- It took a few years, but I'd say .305-34-108 was worth the wait. Tough to repeat that line.
9. J. Morneau -- Great first half player, which means he is high on the (my) list.
10. M. Reynolds -- I hate the average, but 44 HR, 24 SB? Extremely valuable. Also 3B eligible, where he has more value.
11. K. Youkilis -- .300-25-90-90 should be pretty easy to achieve for Youk.
12. J. Votto -- Not a huge fan, but '09 totals say I may be wrong. Needs to stay healthy.
13. D. Lee -- Hit the quietest 35 jacks in recent memory in '09. Speed is gone though.
14. A. Dunn -- Cheaper guaranteed power. Not much difference in value 6-14 on the list. Am I now talking myself into the scarcity argument?
15. B. Butler -- He's on the rise.
16. C. Pena -- Move him up in OBP leagues. .227 BA is a killer though.
17. L. Berkman -- My buddy Steve loves the puma...does anyone else?
18. J. Loney -- Admittedly, I have unwarrented affection.
19. T. Helton -- An older version of what Loney can give.
20. C. Delgado -- I think he goes back to the Mets.
There are other groups of guys to talk about as well. Cuddyer, V-Mart, Swisher, LaPorta and Jose Lopez qualify here, but you're playing them elsewhere. Prospects at first include the highly regarded Justin Smoak, who is likely to steal time from Chris Davis in Texas at some point (although, Davis may be a nice gamble in April-May), the apositional Jesus Montero of the Yankees (big bat, listed at catcher), Brett Wallace of Toronto, Logan Morrison of Florida, and Chris Carter of Oakland (big power). All these guys are locks to be up at some point in 2010 except Montero, and all make nice keeper bats. I like them in about the order they are listed.
If you are scrounging, I don;t see much difference between the likes of Aubrey Huff, Adam LaRoche, Garrett Jones, Jorge Cantu, Nick Johnson and any other stiff you can find. All are likely to disappoint besides LaRoche, who will have infuriated you to the point of cutting him just before he gets hot in August and helps someone else push toward the playoffs.
Cheers,
TFAM
Tuesday, February 2, 2010
Northern Trust Open
So, last week at the Farmer's, you may recall I had a difficult time choosing a golfer I actually felt good about other than Mickelson. I have the opposite problem this week, there are a whole bunch of golfers with good history at Riviera, and the field is the strongest of the year to date on tour, by far. Let's get right to it.
Fred Couples has a fantastic history here, with multiple wins, multiple seconds, and as host of top 10 finishes. He even finished thrid last year at 49 years old. Adam Scott is slowly resuscitating his career, and he has a win, a second, and a 14th in four outings over the last five years here. KJ Choi played very well at the Farmers and has top 10s each of the past two years at the NTO. Robert Allenby may be off to the best start of anyone in 2010, and he has three top 10s in the last five years. Now if he could just keep it in play on Sunday...
If you want star power, Paddy Harrington is teeing it up for the first time all year and he has two top 10s in three years here. He's a threat to win whenever he tees it up and holds the number two spot in the world in my book (sorry Phil). Speaking of Lefty, he's the two time defending champ. If there was ever a week to pick him in a non major, non-WGC, non-Fed Ex playoff event, this is it. Big Ern is playing well and is a threat here too. He also has a win on this course. Furyk, Stricker and Vijay are in the field this week too along with Mike Weir, who won this event twice in a row earlier in the decade.
So, there are decisions to be made. My gut tells me Choi, Allenby, Els, Harrington and Mickelson are the best plays this week.
Cheers,
TFAM
Fred Couples has a fantastic history here, with multiple wins, multiple seconds, and as host of top 10 finishes. He even finished thrid last year at 49 years old. Adam Scott is slowly resuscitating his career, and he has a win, a second, and a 14th in four outings over the last five years here. KJ Choi played very well at the Farmers and has top 10s each of the past two years at the NTO. Robert Allenby may be off to the best start of anyone in 2010, and he has three top 10s in the last five years. Now if he could just keep it in play on Sunday...
If you want star power, Paddy Harrington is teeing it up for the first time all year and he has two top 10s in three years here. He's a threat to win whenever he tees it up and holds the number two spot in the world in my book (sorry Phil). Speaking of Lefty, he's the two time defending champ. If there was ever a week to pick him in a non major, non-WGC, non-Fed Ex playoff event, this is it. Big Ern is playing well and is a threat here too. He also has a win on this course. Furyk, Stricker and Vijay are in the field this week too along with Mike Weir, who won this event twice in a row earlier in the decade.
So, there are decisions to be made. My gut tells me Choi, Allenby, Els, Harrington and Mickelson are the best plays this week.
Cheers,
TFAM
Monday, February 1, 2010
Ranking the catchers
As promised, I'm ramping up the baseball content starting this week. February 1 seems a bit early, I know, but you want me to write about how much Chris Paul's injury hurts (my) fantasy teams? I didn't think so....(pick up Darren Collison immediately).
Anyway, with the idea that rankings can be stretched into several columns and the hope that you, my readers, will be checking back six times a day in an attempt to be the first to eye the newest posting, here is my take on the catchers in 2010, for fantasy purposes. Keep in mnd that I am a humbers guy, and as much as I like Phillip Humber, it really means that numbers + hunch = my ranking. If you don't like that my gut plays into it, that's okay, you can get your advice from someone who didn't win titles in both of their ultra-competetive leagues last year.
Keep in mind, I hate catchers, and usually don't allocate much to this position, unless I need two. That's another column entirely, though.
1. J. Mauer -- Easy call, numbers should be consistent with '09.
2. V. Martinez -- I'm passing on Martinez and McCann, but they do belong.
3. B. McCann -- Aye.
4. M. Weiters -- Seems right, I like upside plays and he has a chance to hit .290 with 20 bombs.
5. R. Martin -- I like the chances of a bounceback.
6. J. Posada -- Age and injury concerns, but numbers last year were great. My kind of guy.
7. M. Napoli -- Love the homers and OBP, hate Jeff Mathis.
8. G. Soto -- Terrible in '09, great on '08. Split the difference? I'd gamble.
9. M. Montero -- .294, 16 HR in '09.
10. K. Suzuki -- Shockingly muffled 15 HR, 88 RBI, 8 SB season in '09. I'm not revved up.
11. A. Pierzynski -- Depending on his mood he'll being power or average, and lots of SBs for baserunners.
12. R. Doumit -- Numbers are okay, but I've never been a fan. Injured every year.
13. J. Saltalamacchia -- Long on potential and surname, short on time. Needs to start showing it.
14. Y. Molina -- Nothing flashy, but a few homers, a few steals, a lot of ABs and an average that won't kill you.
15. M. Olivo -- Nice power, but how many ABs? Ianetta still lurks in Col. Still, sleeper potential.
After 15, all the rest of the guys are basically the same, with a few exceptions. Carlos Santana and Buster Posey are likely to be midseason adds, but neither is much of a consideration in one catcher redraft leagues. They are both in the discussion of the top 10 prospects in baseball though, so they are legit keeper targets. Bengie Molina should be starter worthy until Posey gets the call, and would be borderline top 10 if Buster wasn't in the picture.
Cheers,
TFAM
Anyway, with the idea that rankings can be stretched into several columns and the hope that you, my readers, will be checking back six times a day in an attempt to be the first to eye the newest posting, here is my take on the catchers in 2010, for fantasy purposes. Keep in mnd that I am a humbers guy, and as much as I like Phillip Humber, it really means that numbers + hunch = my ranking. If you don't like that my gut plays into it, that's okay, you can get your advice from someone who didn't win titles in both of their ultra-competetive leagues last year.
Keep in mind, I hate catchers, and usually don't allocate much to this position, unless I need two. That's another column entirely, though.
1. J. Mauer -- Easy call, numbers should be consistent with '09.
2. V. Martinez -- I'm passing on Martinez and McCann, but they do belong.
3. B. McCann -- Aye.
4. M. Weiters -- Seems right, I like upside plays and he has a chance to hit .290 with 20 bombs.
5. R. Martin -- I like the chances of a bounceback.
6. J. Posada -- Age and injury concerns, but numbers last year were great. My kind of guy.
7. M. Napoli -- Love the homers and OBP, hate Jeff Mathis.
8. G. Soto -- Terrible in '09, great on '08. Split the difference? I'd gamble.
9. M. Montero -- .294, 16 HR in '09.
10. K. Suzuki -- Shockingly muffled 15 HR, 88 RBI, 8 SB season in '09. I'm not revved up.
11. A. Pierzynski -- Depending on his mood he'll being power or average, and lots of SBs for baserunners.
12. R. Doumit -- Numbers are okay, but I've never been a fan. Injured every year.
13. J. Saltalamacchia -- Long on potential and surname, short on time. Needs to start showing it.
14. Y. Molina -- Nothing flashy, but a few homers, a few steals, a lot of ABs and an average that won't kill you.
15. M. Olivo -- Nice power, but how many ABs? Ianetta still lurks in Col. Still, sleeper potential.
After 15, all the rest of the guys are basically the same, with a few exceptions. Carlos Santana and Buster Posey are likely to be midseason adds, but neither is much of a consideration in one catcher redraft leagues. They are both in the discussion of the top 10 prospects in baseball though, so they are legit keeper targets. Bengie Molina should be starter worthy until Posey gets the call, and would be borderline top 10 if Buster wasn't in the picture.
Cheers,
TFAM
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