Mike Weir shot 85 last week. I don't meet to pile on, but 85? I feel like he should join my twice weekly game with my dad and my buddy Huse, he can give me a few strokes and we'll play for a trophy. It actually was pretty bad for others too out there in Palm Beach last week. Ernie Els shot a 78 Saturday and finished the tournament at 16 over par. So did Rory McIlroy. It was carnage. Still, 85?
And what to make of Els and McIlroy this week at Doral? Els is the defending champ, and he just dominated the field last year to win by four. McIlroy is top 10 in the world. Still, I just can't pick a guy that just finished a tournament at 16 over par unless they played Oakmont.
The good news is that the options are plentiful this week as all top 50 players in the world have once again gathered at a WGC event. Tiger has the best history here, with six wins and top tens in all ten tries. I know two more things about Woods that may interest you as well. I thought he actually looked very good in his one round at the match play, and you'd be broke by now if you'd wagered on him every time I said he was back. Still, I'm going back to the well.
You have to like the other top players who are hot as well. G Mac, Kaymer, Donald, Watney and Kuchar all are playing well enough to win. Phil and Dustin Johnson are threats every week, and there are obviously many more that could win.
If you want some past history Kuchar and Kaymer finished tied for third last year. Mickelson's record is shaky outside of a win in 2009, Furyk has been awful but has three top five in his last five at Doral, and Charl Schwartzel is hot and finished second in 2010.
Among those without stellar records here are McIlroy, Westwood, Johnson, Mahan and Kim.
Sleepers? Is anyone talking about Steve Stricker anymore? It seems he is due for a breakthrough. Justin Rose has been solid in 2010, and my old favorite Aaron Baddeley has qualified too. He looks to be back.
Most Talent
Woods
Mickelson
Kaymer
Westwood
McIlroy
Course History
Woods
Furyk
Els
Ogilvy
Watney
Who's Hot?
Donald
Kuchar
Sabbatini
Watney
McDowell
Who's Not?
Woods
Mickelson
Westwood
Furyk
Kim
My Picks
Woods
Kaymer
Watney
Stricker
Rose
Cheers,
TFAM
Tuesday, March 8, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Ranking the first basemen
I know, I know, me trying to get these rankings out on time is like watching Bengie Molina try to take extra bases.
With first basemen the issue of position scarcity always comes up. Most people agree that first base is the deepest position in baseball, and the position scarcity point of view would be to say that it may be one of the last positions to fill when building a team. If the fourth ranked shortstop is, say, a washed up Derek Jeter, then you better grab one of the best and let the quality first baseman (the guys who really put up the monster numbers, BTW) slide by.
Well, I'm not a position scarcity guy. I'm a stats guy, and I want the best stats, regardless of position. I know shortstop is shallow, but why pay for a Jeter who'll post avergae numbers when you can get an Orlando Cabrera who'ss post a couple less steals and a few less runs? Take the stats early, and, often times, the stats come from the big boppers at first base.
1. A. Pujols -- He does seem to be declining, but the batting average is brilliant.
2. M. Cabrera -- Not a large gap between he and Albert, also a batting average monster.
3. A. Gonzalez -- Soem risk here with the league change, but Fenway should be perfect.
4. J. Votto -- I'm pessimistic on a repeat, but the value falls off here.
5. P. Fielder -- Contract year? Could hit 45 HR easily.
6. K. Youkilis -- I like the batting average, again. Pretty safe play here.
7. M. Teixeira -- I think he can bounce back, but I'm not drafting him with the slow start.
8. R. Howard -- Another slow starter, trade for him in June.
9. A. Dunn -- I just think he's safer than Morneau, not as much upside though.
10. J. Morneau -- I have a hard time paying his price with the ?'s. Seems mysterious he still isn't 100%.
11. K. Morales -- His ceiling his lower, but his injury seems less severe than Morneau.
12. B. Butler -- Do you believe? I do, but the drop off has begun.
13. P. Konerko -- I'm not paying for last year.
14. C. Pena -- I like him as a bargain.
15. A. Huff -- Yeah, and you want the lesser first basemen?
16. D. Lee
17. A. LaRoche
18. J. Loney
19. I. Davis
20. J. Smoak -- At least there is some upside here as a CI.
21. F. Freeman -- Ditto
22. M. Laporta
23. T. Helton
24. B. Wallace
25. G. Sanchez
Now, keep in mind that Posey, C. Lee, Cuddyer, and Berkman all qualify, but I think they are more valuable in their other positions. C. Lee, Cuddy and Berkman are all in the 15-23 range in that order.
Don't forget about Brandon Belt and Yonder Alonso who are an injury from full time gigs. Also, Eric Hosmer and potentially Jesus Montero (if he isn't a catcher) are big time bats who are a year away.
Golf tomorrow, second basemen Wednesday.
Cheers,
TFAM
With first basemen the issue of position scarcity always comes up. Most people agree that first base is the deepest position in baseball, and the position scarcity point of view would be to say that it may be one of the last positions to fill when building a team. If the fourth ranked shortstop is, say, a washed up Derek Jeter, then you better grab one of the best and let the quality first baseman (the guys who really put up the monster numbers, BTW) slide by.
Well, I'm not a position scarcity guy. I'm a stats guy, and I want the best stats, regardless of position. I know shortstop is shallow, but why pay for a Jeter who'll post avergae numbers when you can get an Orlando Cabrera who'ss post a couple less steals and a few less runs? Take the stats early, and, often times, the stats come from the big boppers at first base.
1. A. Pujols -- He does seem to be declining, but the batting average is brilliant.
2. M. Cabrera -- Not a large gap between he and Albert, also a batting average monster.
3. A. Gonzalez -- Soem risk here with the league change, but Fenway should be perfect.
4. J. Votto -- I'm pessimistic on a repeat, but the value falls off here.
5. P. Fielder -- Contract year? Could hit 45 HR easily.
6. K. Youkilis -- I like the batting average, again. Pretty safe play here.
7. M. Teixeira -- I think he can bounce back, but I'm not drafting him with the slow start.
8. R. Howard -- Another slow starter, trade for him in June.
9. A. Dunn -- I just think he's safer than Morneau, not as much upside though.
10. J. Morneau -- I have a hard time paying his price with the ?'s. Seems mysterious he still isn't 100%.
11. K. Morales -- His ceiling his lower, but his injury seems less severe than Morneau.
12. B. Butler -- Do you believe? I do, but the drop off has begun.
13. P. Konerko -- I'm not paying for last year.
14. C. Pena -- I like him as a bargain.
15. A. Huff -- Yeah, and you want the lesser first basemen?
16. D. Lee
17. A. LaRoche
18. J. Loney
19. I. Davis
20. J. Smoak -- At least there is some upside here as a CI.
21. F. Freeman -- Ditto
22. M. Laporta
23. T. Helton
24. B. Wallace
25. G. Sanchez
Now, keep in mind that Posey, C. Lee, Cuddyer, and Berkman all qualify, but I think they are more valuable in their other positions. C. Lee, Cuddy and Berkman are all in the 15-23 range in that order.
Don't forget about Brandon Belt and Yonder Alonso who are an injury from full time gigs. Also, Eric Hosmer and potentially Jesus Montero (if he isn't a catcher) are big time bats who are a year away.
Golf tomorrow, second basemen Wednesday.
Cheers,
TFAM
Wednesday, March 2, 2011
Honda Classic
Must be nice to be the Honda Classic right now. Tour events like Harbour Town are sturggling to get a sponsor and may be going under, and the Honda gets the cushy spot right between two WGC events so all the top Euros can hit the Honda in their pre-Masters US Tour.
Which leads me to my thesis this week. In a one-and-done, you almost have to pick a Euro this week. Westwood, McIlroy, E. Molinari and Ross Fisher are all non-members teeing it up this week at Palm Beach Gardens, and with their limited schedules, you take the chances with them while you can. Even members like G Mac, Donald and Poulter play fewer events here as dual tourers, so those guys make a lot of sense too.
Which one would I pick this week? I like Westwood and Donald (how good was he last week, BTW?) to perform well, but I like G Mac to win the event. All three have a history here and have played well and G Mac was in the thick of it until a Sunday 76 last year. Plus, with apologies to Kaymer, McDowell is playing like the best in the world and has for almost a full year.
The sexpert pick this week is the rejuvenated Vijay Singh. I'll pass. He's due for a letdown. Just a hunch. And stay away from Villegas too. I know he's the defending champ, but his only air time at Dove Mountain was a series of missed three footers.
Others to look for? Kuchar is a top 10 machine, Anthony Kim was second last year (but has been largely average in 2011). Ernie Els and YE Yang were winners prior to Villegas. Yang looked good last week, dispatching McDowell on his run to the quarters. Fowler and Overton both missed the cut last year.
Make sure you are aware of the withdrawals too. Holmes, Cink, Rose and Crane have all pulled out.
A sleeper? Frederick Jacobsen has top 10s in two straight trips here, and Jimmy Walker has been on the leaderboard in each of his past two events.
Most Talent
Westwood
McIlroy
McDowell
Donald
Els
Course History
Villegas
Els
Yang
Jacobsen
Wi
Who's Hot?
Donald
Kuchar
Walker
V. Singh
Yang
Who's Not?
Poulter
Villegas
Weir
Lovemark
O'Hair
My Picks
McDowell
Yang
Donald
Westwood
Jacobsen
Cheers,
TFAM
Which leads me to my thesis this week. In a one-and-done, you almost have to pick a Euro this week. Westwood, McIlroy, E. Molinari and Ross Fisher are all non-members teeing it up this week at Palm Beach Gardens, and with their limited schedules, you take the chances with them while you can. Even members like G Mac, Donald and Poulter play fewer events here as dual tourers, so those guys make a lot of sense too.
Which one would I pick this week? I like Westwood and Donald (how good was he last week, BTW?) to perform well, but I like G Mac to win the event. All three have a history here and have played well and G Mac was in the thick of it until a Sunday 76 last year. Plus, with apologies to Kaymer, McDowell is playing like the best in the world and has for almost a full year.
The sexpert pick this week is the rejuvenated Vijay Singh. I'll pass. He's due for a letdown. Just a hunch. And stay away from Villegas too. I know he's the defending champ, but his only air time at Dove Mountain was a series of missed three footers.
Others to look for? Kuchar is a top 10 machine, Anthony Kim was second last year (but has been largely average in 2011). Ernie Els and YE Yang were winners prior to Villegas. Yang looked good last week, dispatching McDowell on his run to the quarters. Fowler and Overton both missed the cut last year.
Make sure you are aware of the withdrawals too. Holmes, Cink, Rose and Crane have all pulled out.
A sleeper? Frederick Jacobsen has top 10s in two straight trips here, and Jimmy Walker has been on the leaderboard in each of his past two events.
Most Talent
Westwood
McIlroy
McDowell
Donald
Els
Course History
Villegas
Els
Yang
Jacobsen
Wi
Who's Hot?
Donald
Kuchar
Walker
V. Singh
Yang
Who's Not?
Poulter
Villegas
Weir
Lovemark
O'Hair
My Picks
McDowell
Yang
Donald
Westwood
Jacobsen
Cheers,
TFAM
Tuesday, March 1, 2011
Catching the baseball fever
For those wanting the golf picks...after my match play performance, why? Just kidding, I'll preview the Honda tomorrow, but I need to start with baseball, it is March after all, and the madness is about to begin.
I'm going to start with the catchers and the number one rule to keep in mind with the backstops is that you only pay a premium in two catcher leagues for the position. When you start two, you have to invest, as the pickings of guys that even bring relevance is pretty thin. However, when you play just one and the position only needs to go 12 deep, well, let's just say I'll take Jorge Posada for $1 over Miguel Montero for $8 any day of the week.
Now, if you believe Matt Weiters can start to post .300-30-100 seasons, he would be worth it, and Mauer can be very valuable too, so I guess I don't have as much of a problem at the top, just don't pay for catching mediocrity.
1. J. Mauer -- He's a .320 lock, and 15-80-80 is good for tops at the position and leaves room for upside.
2. B. Posey -- No soph slump, and I lean youth...always
3. V. Martinez -- I'm a little down on the ballpark switch.
4. B. McCann -- We are splitting hairs 2-4....
5. M. Weiters -- ...and I'll pass on them all and take Weiters for less. If not Weiters, I'm not spending. After all, Weiters catches the bird before the bird catches the worm.
6. C. Santana -- Again, youth, but I'll take Weiters.
7. M. Napoli -- He's an OPS monster, and if he gets the ABs, he can mash in Texas.
8. G. Soto -- Still a good value and he may come cheap.
9. M. Montero -- And the bottom just fell out. No more than $1 from here out unless you need two.
10. C. Ianetta -- Grasping at his perennial upside.
11. J. Posada -- Can he still hit 20 HR?
12. AJ Pierzynski -- Just no BA anymore.
13. JP Arrenciba -- A rookie with pop
14. R. Martin -- Now a Yankee pushing Jorge to DH
15. Y. Molina
16. R. Doumit
17. J. Buck
18. K. Suzuki -- Has anyone ever won a fantasy title with Kurt Suzuki?
19. J. Saltalamacchia -- Boston
20. J. Jaso -- A leadoff catcher?
Don't forget about...Jesus Montero is a Yankee prospect that can mash. He should be drafted in all keeper leagues. He's an offensive star in the making.
Cheers,
TFAM
I'm going to start with the catchers and the number one rule to keep in mind with the backstops is that you only pay a premium in two catcher leagues for the position. When you start two, you have to invest, as the pickings of guys that even bring relevance is pretty thin. However, when you play just one and the position only needs to go 12 deep, well, let's just say I'll take Jorge Posada for $1 over Miguel Montero for $8 any day of the week.
Now, if you believe Matt Weiters can start to post .300-30-100 seasons, he would be worth it, and Mauer can be very valuable too, so I guess I don't have as much of a problem at the top, just don't pay for catching mediocrity.
1. J. Mauer -- He's a .320 lock, and 15-80-80 is good for tops at the position and leaves room for upside.
2. B. Posey -- No soph slump, and I lean youth...always
3. V. Martinez -- I'm a little down on the ballpark switch.
4. B. McCann -- We are splitting hairs 2-4....
5. M. Weiters -- ...and I'll pass on them all and take Weiters for less. If not Weiters, I'm not spending. After all, Weiters catches the bird before the bird catches the worm.
6. C. Santana -- Again, youth, but I'll take Weiters.
7. M. Napoli -- He's an OPS monster, and if he gets the ABs, he can mash in Texas.
8. G. Soto -- Still a good value and he may come cheap.
9. M. Montero -- And the bottom just fell out. No more than $1 from here out unless you need two.
10. C. Ianetta -- Grasping at his perennial upside.
11. J. Posada -- Can he still hit 20 HR?
12. AJ Pierzynski -- Just no BA anymore.
13. JP Arrenciba -- A rookie with pop
14. R. Martin -- Now a Yankee pushing Jorge to DH
15. Y. Molina
16. R. Doumit
17. J. Buck
18. K. Suzuki -- Has anyone ever won a fantasy title with Kurt Suzuki?
19. J. Saltalamacchia -- Boston
20. J. Jaso -- A leadoff catcher?
Don't forget about...Jesus Montero is a Yankee prospect that can mash. He should be drafted in all keeper leagues. He's an offensive star in the making.
Cheers,
TFAM
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
WGC Accenture Match Play
Am I just a golf geek or is tomorrow Christmas Day? I love the match play so much, and while it isn't exactly March Madness, the bracket thing is about as good as it gets for me in golf save the Masters in HD and early morning coverage of the British.
If you just want to see my whole bracket, you'll have to follow me on Twitter, as it is posted there. @fananswerman is the handle. Otherwise, the breakdown is below, following one aside about the Northern Trust Open.
So, I had Aaron Baddeley in my five picks last week, which was likely my call of the year, as he won the event with a world ranking worse than the likes of Mardan Mamat, Floris de Vries, and Hideto Tanihara. However, for some unexplainable reason I picked Rory Sabbatini in my one and done, not Badds. I hate Rory Sabbatini. At least I thought I did. Apparently I never knew hate until Sabbatini went SEVEN over in his last 10 holes Friday to miss the cut by one shot...in a cowboy hat, no less. Infuriating.
At least I traded Marino and Davis for Baddeley and Laird in the auction league Wednesday night.
Onto the match play.
In the Jones bracket Westwood and Watney are destined to meet in the second round, which is a crusher as these two are both potential champs. I like Watney to beat Westwood like he did last year and go on to win the bracket. Stricker and Goosen are both in the bracket and should advance a round, but I like Charl Schwartzel to meet Watney in the final eight. Schwartzel has a 2011 win and ousted Jim Furyk in the second round last year.
The Player bracket is probably the weakest of the bunch, but may feature the eventual champ. While Justin Rose and Hunter Mahan loom as threats to Martin Kaymer on the top of the bracket, Rory McIlroy should have smooth sailing on the bottom. He's a former quarterfinalist here and should do so again with the potential for more unless Kaymer gets him. I like Rory.
The Hogan bracket is the most difficult, with European giants McDowell and Poulter, the defender, in the bottom of the draw. I like the winner of that to face Mickelson, who will be sternly tested by the Fowler-Peter Hanson winner in round two. Hanson is a darkhorse and has the game to do some damage. Phil doesn't have the greatest match play record, but I just have a feeling, and like him over Poulter in the final eight.
The Snead bracket features Tiger, who's going to get all he can handle from the combination of Ogilvy or Harrington, then Dustin Johnson or Bill Haas. However, like Tiger, none of those guys outside of Haas are coming in too hot. I think Tiger's stellar match play record carries him through to a duel with Paul Casey, who has an easy draw to get to the final eight. Tiger beats Casey, though it should be noted Casey has been runner up two years in a row.
I like Rory to win the thing over Watney in a battle of two guys from oppsite sides of the pond who are destined to make big noise in 2011. Now let's just hope Yuta Ikeda doesn't bust through and ruin the party for the weekend.
Love it.
Cheers,
TFAM
If you just want to see my whole bracket, you'll have to follow me on Twitter, as it is posted there. @fananswerman is the handle. Otherwise, the breakdown is below, following one aside about the Northern Trust Open.
So, I had Aaron Baddeley in my five picks last week, which was likely my call of the year, as he won the event with a world ranking worse than the likes of Mardan Mamat, Floris de Vries, and Hideto Tanihara. However, for some unexplainable reason I picked Rory Sabbatini in my one and done, not Badds. I hate Rory Sabbatini. At least I thought I did. Apparently I never knew hate until Sabbatini went SEVEN over in his last 10 holes Friday to miss the cut by one shot...in a cowboy hat, no less. Infuriating.
At least I traded Marino and Davis for Baddeley and Laird in the auction league Wednesday night.
Onto the match play.
In the Jones bracket Westwood and Watney are destined to meet in the second round, which is a crusher as these two are both potential champs. I like Watney to beat Westwood like he did last year and go on to win the bracket. Stricker and Goosen are both in the bracket and should advance a round, but I like Charl Schwartzel to meet Watney in the final eight. Schwartzel has a 2011 win and ousted Jim Furyk in the second round last year.
The Player bracket is probably the weakest of the bunch, but may feature the eventual champ. While Justin Rose and Hunter Mahan loom as threats to Martin Kaymer on the top of the bracket, Rory McIlroy should have smooth sailing on the bottom. He's a former quarterfinalist here and should do so again with the potential for more unless Kaymer gets him. I like Rory.
The Hogan bracket is the most difficult, with European giants McDowell and Poulter, the defender, in the bottom of the draw. I like the winner of that to face Mickelson, who will be sternly tested by the Fowler-Peter Hanson winner in round two. Hanson is a darkhorse and has the game to do some damage. Phil doesn't have the greatest match play record, but I just have a feeling, and like him over Poulter in the final eight.
The Snead bracket features Tiger, who's going to get all he can handle from the combination of Ogilvy or Harrington, then Dustin Johnson or Bill Haas. However, like Tiger, none of those guys outside of Haas are coming in too hot. I think Tiger's stellar match play record carries him through to a duel with Paul Casey, who has an easy draw to get to the final eight. Tiger beats Casey, though it should be noted Casey has been runner up two years in a row.
I like Rory to win the thing over Watney in a battle of two guys from oppsite sides of the pond who are destined to make big noise in 2011. Now let's just hope Yuta Ikeda doesn't bust through and ruin the party for the weekend.
Love it.
Cheers,
TFAM
Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Northern Trust Open
A few random thoughts...
If I rip on some of my guys the way I did Bill Murray last week does that mean I can visit the winner's circle too? I've been playing one-and-done for a year and a half and have yet to pick a winner.
Steve Marino had terrible body language down the stretch Sunday. He just doesn't seem like a winner to me.
Match play next week! Watch out for Nick Watney and Peter Hanson, among others.
This week, it's LA, and the field is nothing to spit at despite the losses of Watney, Els and Tim Clark to withdrawals. Stricker defends and is a strong pick after a T2 the year before. Phil, like every venue on the west coast, is a multiple winner. Dustin Johnson finished thrid here last year though the state of his game is in question with his showing at Pebble fresh in our minds. Matt Kuchar returns too after a layoff, and the Euros are beginning to invade in advance of the WGC event next week. Luke Donald is a star on this course, with three consecutive top six finishes, and he is the pick this week. I love his game. JB Holmes is great here too with three top sevens in his last three tries.
Anthony Kim, Padraig Harrington, Zach Johnson, Paul Casey, Rickie Fowler, Retief Goosen, Jason Day, Jim Furyk, Justin Rose, Hunter Mahan and Bubba Watson round out a great field. Mahan has been playing particularly well, though he has just two trips to the weekend at Riviera in five tries.
Most Talent
Mickelson
Stricker
Casey
Furyk
D. Johnson
Course History
Stricker
Donald
Mickelson
Holmes
Allenby
Who's Hot?
Points
Mahan
Kuchar
Marino
Gillis
Who's Not?
Weir
Moore
Harrington
Ogilvy
O'Hair
My Picks
Donald
Stricker
Baddeley
Kuchar
Sabbatini
Cheers,
TFAM
If I rip on some of my guys the way I did Bill Murray last week does that mean I can visit the winner's circle too? I've been playing one-and-done for a year and a half and have yet to pick a winner.
Steve Marino had terrible body language down the stretch Sunday. He just doesn't seem like a winner to me.
Match play next week! Watch out for Nick Watney and Peter Hanson, among others.
This week, it's LA, and the field is nothing to spit at despite the losses of Watney, Els and Tim Clark to withdrawals. Stricker defends and is a strong pick after a T2 the year before. Phil, like every venue on the west coast, is a multiple winner. Dustin Johnson finished thrid here last year though the state of his game is in question with his showing at Pebble fresh in our minds. Matt Kuchar returns too after a layoff, and the Euros are beginning to invade in advance of the WGC event next week. Luke Donald is a star on this course, with three consecutive top six finishes, and he is the pick this week. I love his game. JB Holmes is great here too with three top sevens in his last three tries.
Anthony Kim, Padraig Harrington, Zach Johnson, Paul Casey, Rickie Fowler, Retief Goosen, Jason Day, Jim Furyk, Justin Rose, Hunter Mahan and Bubba Watson round out a great field. Mahan has been playing particularly well, though he has just two trips to the weekend at Riviera in five tries.
Most Talent
Mickelson
Stricker
Casey
Furyk
D. Johnson
Course History
Stricker
Donald
Mickelson
Holmes
Allenby
Who's Hot?
Points
Mahan
Kuchar
Marino
Gillis
Who's Not?
Weir
Moore
Harrington
Ogilvy
O'Hair
My Picks
Donald
Stricker
Baddeley
Kuchar
Sabbatini
Cheers,
TFAM
Wednesday, February 9, 2011
AT & T Pebble Beach
How has there not been a full fledged Vegas-style investigation into Cristina screwing up the lyrics Sunday night? There had to be rioting in the Casinos, right?
OK, golf.
There's nothing more tiresome to watch than celebrities playing golf. Hasn't this act run it's course? Unfortunately, we have to watch Bill Murray play to the fans and cameras this week with his tiresome routine when we could be watching good golf. It's the last if these idiotic pro-ams though, so we'll live.
Up until the front nine on the third Sunday in June last year, Dustin Johnson had owned Pebble Beach. Then, predictably, his game fell apart and he lost the US Open that he'll always know was the one he was destined to win. I guess it will probably go back to Pebble in another 10 years or so. In the mean time, DJ is the favorite again this week as he goes for the three-peat in this lesser prestigious event.
Challengers to DJ include Mickelson, who has won here and is a threat every time out. It's not a spot to pick him in the one and done, but he should be around on Sunday. He's already playing better this year than he did last. Nick Watney has two top 10s in the last two weeks and you know I love his game. I also like Vijay this week, as he's gone from 57th to 20th to 3rd in his three starts this year. He has seven top 10s and a win here so he's a safe bet to keep it rolling this week.
Other than those four, no one is really standing out to me this week. I'm waiting for the Jamie Lovemark breakout, so maybe this is that week for that. Padraig is here, and JB Holmes looked good last week and T2'd here in 2010. Mark Wilson? I guess you could do worse...like Mike Weir. O'Hair, Tim Clark, Geoff Ogilvy, Furyk, Mahan....I don't really have a good read on this one and none would surprise.
My sleeper this week is Richard S. Johnson. Don't ask, he's just a hunch. I like the Swedes. Check out Tiger, Kaymer and Westwood in Dubai this week also. Time to start scouting for the match play.
Most Talent
Mickelson
D. Johnson
Harrington
Furyk
Watney
Course History
D. Johnson
Mickelson
Singh
Weir
Furyk
Who's Hot?
M. Wilson
Watney
Singh
Snedeker
Dufner
Who's Not?
Weir
O'Hair
Van Pelt
Immelman
V. Taylor
My Picks
D. Johnson
Singh
R. Johnson
Watney
Lovemark
Cheers,
TFAM
OK, golf.
There's nothing more tiresome to watch than celebrities playing golf. Hasn't this act run it's course? Unfortunately, we have to watch Bill Murray play to the fans and cameras this week with his tiresome routine when we could be watching good golf. It's the last if these idiotic pro-ams though, so we'll live.
Up until the front nine on the third Sunday in June last year, Dustin Johnson had owned Pebble Beach. Then, predictably, his game fell apart and he lost the US Open that he'll always know was the one he was destined to win. I guess it will probably go back to Pebble in another 10 years or so. In the mean time, DJ is the favorite again this week as he goes for the three-peat in this lesser prestigious event.
Challengers to DJ include Mickelson, who has won here and is a threat every time out. It's not a spot to pick him in the one and done, but he should be around on Sunday. He's already playing better this year than he did last. Nick Watney has two top 10s in the last two weeks and you know I love his game. I also like Vijay this week, as he's gone from 57th to 20th to 3rd in his three starts this year. He has seven top 10s and a win here so he's a safe bet to keep it rolling this week.
Other than those four, no one is really standing out to me this week. I'm waiting for the Jamie Lovemark breakout, so maybe this is that week for that. Padraig is here, and JB Holmes looked good last week and T2'd here in 2010. Mark Wilson? I guess you could do worse...like Mike Weir. O'Hair, Tim Clark, Geoff Ogilvy, Furyk, Mahan....I don't really have a good read on this one and none would surprise.
My sleeper this week is Richard S. Johnson. Don't ask, he's just a hunch. I like the Swedes. Check out Tiger, Kaymer and Westwood in Dubai this week also. Time to start scouting for the match play.
Most Talent
Mickelson
D. Johnson
Harrington
Furyk
Watney
Course History
D. Johnson
Mickelson
Singh
Weir
Furyk
Who's Hot?
M. Wilson
Watney
Singh
Snedeker
Dufner
Who's Not?
Weir
O'Hair
Van Pelt
Immelman
V. Taylor
My Picks
D. Johnson
Singh
R. Johnson
Watney
Lovemark
Cheers,
TFAM
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